this post was submitted on 20 Jul 2023
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I think that article is mostly clickbait. So much speculation going on and the comparison to Afghanistan is such a stretch. There is no sign of war exhaustion in the west. People might lose interest in following the conflict because it slowed down but Russia is such a big enemy in the minds of people that sending more equipment can go on for decades before voices grow to stop it.
And the fear that any peace that Putin can celebrate as a victory would only be a temporary peace is still very imbedded into the mind of many Europeans.
The title is total clickbait but the article is more thinking of theoretical options of events to come. E.g. how the end(s) of the war could look like.
Petr Pavel, Czech president & former general, already stated that at the end of the year, the window of opportunity might be closed for Ukraine and Ukraine should try to gain as much ground as possible before the winter. Not because of the weather, but because of elections coming in Russia, the USA and Ukraine in 2024.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-has-window-of-opportunity-this-year-to-take-back-territory-from-russia-before-war-fatigue-says-czech-republics-president-12918975
Not even talking about the possible election outcomes and possible consequences for the war, already the election campaigns with their goals, promises, propaganda and unique selling points might have influence on the events and further planning. Just imagine Trump (or successor) starting a new mesh of lies and getting supported by Putin, which will get soaked up by their followers and complicate support by the USA - the largest military supporter of Ukraine so far.
Trump can fuck off to jail. I'd like to see him tried for treason.
DeSantis has shown he's a non-starter.
At this point they're hoping for a dark horse pro-retreat candidate.
The best case scenario for Putin would put him in an inevitable and unwinnable war with NATO.