doylio

joined 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] -2 points 3 months ago

I think what's happening is that the old political boundaries are being rewritten. The MAGA crowd don't hold all the same views as old school conservatives, and so some of them are now swing voters. But also Trump is pulling some votes from the democrats, most obviously the unions

[–] [email protected] 13 points 3 months ago (1 children)

The person who wants Biden to be the nominee the most is Trump. Notice he's gone completely quiet on him, not blasting him for his age like some democrats are, because he knows he can win against an 81yo Biden. As soon as he's confirmed as the nominee, Team Trump will turn around and try to make him look as old as dirt

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

That information doesn't change anything I've said. He can be "trailing trump" and still not be the best candidate the dems could have

I think there are people on the fence (who generally decide the election) who would be swayed by Biden's apparent dementia

[–] [email protected] 3 points 4 months ago (2 children)

The Polymarket prediction markets gives odds for who will win the presidential election and who will win the democratic nominee. We can compare the odds of each candidate and use Bayes Theorem to determine their chances of winning the presidency if they secure the DNC nomination.

Here's the results as of posting this comment:

Joe Biden: 27% Kamala Harris: 50% Michelle Obama: 100% Gavin Newsom: 66% Other: 50%

Obviously this doesn't work perfectly (the Michelle Obama example especially is bizarre), but there is over $300M behind these numbers so people seem to think they're at least somewhat accurate.

TLDR: there is a lot of money that thinks Joe Biden is one of the worst options

[–] [email protected] 5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

You don't think if Biden stepped down and it was an open primary there wouldn't be some good options?

Pete Buttigeig, Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, anyone under 60 would make Trump look like a dottering old man in comparison

[–] [email protected] 1 points 4 months ago (20 children)

I don't think the opinion "the man who has control of the nuclear arsenal is showing signs of senility and should not serve another 4 years regardless of who replaces him" is not an unreasonable one

[–] [email protected] 4 points 4 months ago

The real question is, how can we avoid the maple leaf being griefed?

[–] [email protected] 14 points 4 months ago (3 children)

Here's the girl's facebook post since it wasn't linked in the article: https://www.facebook.com/emma.maclean.376/posts/1624020878439140?ref=embed_post

[–] [email protected] 11 points 4 months ago (1 children)

The powers that be will likely push for cashless society because it gives them more surveillance & control

If credit/debit cards were the norm and cash was invented today, it would likely be outlawed down because criminals/terrorists/child kidnappers will use if for nefarious purposes

[–] [email protected] -5 points 4 months ago (1 children)

You're still not answering my question.

But it's now clear that communism for you is a religion. Upper stage communism is the paradise that is promised to those who follow the tenets of the faith fully, and I am a heretic non-believer

I will not be continuing this discussion any further

[–] [email protected] -3 points 4 months ago (4 children)

How about instead of just saying that I am wrong, describe to me how an individual in a higher stage communist state would be prevented from slacking in his duties (and still gaining "according to his need") without state induced violence

 

I'm going to run my first DW game soon. I've never GM'd a TTRPG before, but I've played a few. Most players haven't played TTRPGs, so I like DW for it's simplicity to learn. I'm very comfortable improvising, but I have a bit of prep and would like some feedback on it.

My current idea is to start where all the characters are in a large jail cell. I'll ask the following to set up the world.

  • Where is this jail cell? What's the city name, vibe, etc?
  • Why have each of you been arrested?
  • Who else is in the cell with you?

Then we'll set up bonds and then the adventure will begin. Based on how things go, they'll either have to do a prison break, or fight in a gladiator style arena. I'll have some enemies prepared for those scenarios. For anything else, I will just wing it.

Does this feel like good prep for the session?

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submitted 10 months ago* (last edited 10 months ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

I created a GPT to answer DW questions. In my testing it's pretty good about not getting confused with DnD rules (which regular ChatGPT does). I'm organizing my first DW game as a GM and I'm planning to use it to help me out.

Some good prompts for it:

  • How much XP does a character need to level up?
  • How do I resolve damage from multiple NPCs attacking the character?
  • Suggest 3 monsters the party might encounter in an evil wizard's castle
  • Create some stats for a Giant Chihuahua monster

You do need ChatGPT Plus to use it though

-3
submitted 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
 

EDIT: I know many people have a knee-jerk aversion to anything crypto, but this is not a scheme to make money. I would be happy to see this done with fiat as well, but IMO this is much easier to do with smart contracts.

I am very excited about the possibility of the Fediverse, and the potential for many experiments in instance governance. A problem that all instances must content with is trolling and spam. It seems very difficult to impose a cost on these bad actors without harming honest users as well. Either instances have minimal signup friction and are vulnerable to being overwhelmed with bad actors & defederated (see the recent defederation decision from Beehaw), or they present frustrating barriers such as manual approval or waitlists for folks who just want to have fun

A possible solution comes from the blockchain space, which has been dealing with anonymous bad actors since its inception. Many blockchains and blockchain apps require users to stake some asset in order to gain certain privileges (basically a deposit). If the user is determined to be a bad actor, they lose some or all of their stake.

An instance could be integrated with a smart contract to manage membership could be very effective at dissuading trolls and spammers. A user could stake a small amount of money (say $10) in order to create an account on the instance. This could be done very quickly and would require no manual approval from admins. If the admins determine they are acting poorly, they could ban the user and slash their funds. If an honest user decides they don't want to stay on the instance, they could delete their account and recover their deposit.

(EDIT: An important part of this is that the funds are destroyed when slashed, not given to the admins or mods. This prevents a profit incentive to ban)

I've got a prototype smart contract for this. Would be interested in working with someone on this if there's anyone with experience with the instance management

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