Reminder John Oliver in 1000% onboard with NATO imperialism. Always toes the NATO line, was a huge booster of the Hong Kong attempted color revolution, spews Zenz lies on China, etc, etc. AND is married to a Republican party operative (I don't think it's just for hate-sex).

John Oliver is best seen as CIA. Most media are but him especially because he's very savvy about it and appears progressive on the surface compared to a lot of the "journalist" ghouls.

My guess is they intend to salami-slice Iran into irrelevance. They'll regularly launch "necessary" strikes that will weaken Iran, take out IRGC generals and planners, take out missile production, take out nuclear program stuff and just suppress them and turn up the sanctions heat, more hybrid warfare, prepare sectarian factions to rise up into civil war and then launch that sometime in the next 10 years with an eye towards the next 4 years before they attack China. This will mostly be done by the zionists with a heavy assist from the US via refueling, intelligence, re-armament, etc.

It will be Syria and Libya playbook as many including myself have said before. They will use ethnic minorities and they will use surgical strikes to weaken the Iranian government by taking out key figures in fighting this insurgency. ISIS will pop up again conveniently doing the west's work for it, perhaps a branch of Al Qaeda as well.

Frankly it may be Iran is already doomed. They're surrounded by zionist collaborator nations like Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Azerbaijan, etc filled with troops who would fight on the side of the US and the entity, filled with anti-air batteries, filled with US troops and bases. Their threats of closing the strait would harm China and other multi-polar powers at least as bad if not much worse than the US and hurting Europe can hardly be seen as a goal as they are gluttons for pain as we've seen with Ukraine and will happy destroy what's left of their industry and transfer the wealth to the US on command. With the collapse of their allies in Syria and Hezbollah/Lebanon and with Hamas already fighting as hard as it can they may simply not have much they can actually do that isn't going all in and provoking the US to immediately destroy as much of their standing military as they can.

Things are looking not great for the resistance. If Iran falls that's another dagger at Russia's belly and contention of the Caspian sea by NATO, it's the final domino in blocking China's belt and road and making it irrelevant for maintaining China as anything but a very regional north-east Asian power very susceptible to a sea blockade and embargo. I feel at this point China is perhaps being foolish or at least recklessly playing right up to the line but maybe they know more than I do. We must also acknowledge Ukraine has held out better than many of the hopium boosters were saying they would even a year and a half into the conflict and there is a chance that their lines never truly break and result in a rout for their army. That Russia by next year perhaps secures the oblasts that were historically Russian and voted to join Russia and at that point sues for peace without denazification, without disarmament of Ukraine, and without a solid commitment from the west they won't eventually try and incorporate that rump state into NATO or reignite the conflict. I can't help but wonder if part of the point of Trumps alleged attempted rapprochement with Russia is just to buy time and fool Russia again like with the Minsk accords, to prevent Putin from committing to an offensive when Ukraine is most weak and western production can't keep up and keep that conflict burning longer without straining NATO arms production.

I mean critical support for Iran of course but why are they so bad at this after all that has happened? After Soleimani, after they got Nasrallah, after the pager attacks, after years of zionist agents on motorbikes machine-gunning their scientists. You'd think op-sec would be higher priority.

They can't stop them from flying their old f-16s or whatever junk the IOF has into their airspace. They can't detect them in time to shelter important people. And worse than that they are so compromised despite knowing in advance for a near fact that attack is imminent via this very means that they can't hide their people properly from these attacks from the air meaning the zionists either have intelligence that knows where they are day to day (possibly hour to hour) and safe locations or that they continued going about their business in the most obvious places despite this threat and knowing they cannot stop it.

I know it's a bit armchair general but if you know you can't stop their air force, you know they're coming to attack you. You even have signals of warning like silly nerds on this site posting about increases in pizza orders at DC places the military planners and late night intelligence meeting ghouls like 6 hours ahead of time. You have the US evacuating personnel from bases and embassies in the region. You should at least shelter the people they're likely to target yes? The top leadership, the scientists? And keep that location a secret.

Honestly the zionists, I hate it, but the zionists have been doing incredible lately on a strategic level. They've taken out all their enemies save Iran and Yemen and depending on how bad this was and how many top leadership were killed they might have done a lot of damage to Iran. They are objectively in a stronger position than they have been since the modern resistance formed with Hezbollah as part of it.

And I predict Iran's retaliation will not be that spectacular. That the US will shoot down most of it with their advanced aegis cruisers parked off the coast (which is why tactically Iran should target those with their most advanced weapons as they're de-facto combatants but they won't).

Okay, genuine question is why does Xi Jinping's daughter live in the US if she's done going to college here? Did she only just finish or what? I mean I know the answer is because she wants to but why though?

I hope she didn't catch the liberal brain worms while here. Hopefully it's just a kind of crucible thing to see the horror of the monster up close.

This sounds like just general computer ignorance and fear which is pretty common among people who aren't terribly informed but have been given security training and over-extend any (sometimes dubious) lessons from that.

Or her work has software on her computer and she's worried they'd catch her doing that and get in trouble. Problem is many such people just aren't interested in the 10 minutes it takes to become educated by a friend on that and will shrug off attempts at explaining it because computers are scary.

My cynical thoughts are:

Germany's military will always be used for NATO aggression. They are already an occupied vassal, American troops are in the country (Rammstein base among others) and the reactionary German armed forces will NEVER use force to remove them, thus they can only be a pawn of them. Additionally most German officers are trained like dogs for loyalty with the American troops, additionally there is evidence the west runs a significant blackmail network as well as a spy network against its own and those officers and members of intelligence who would help the US coup Germany for its benefit are known and written down and will be called upon.

Remember what happened to Australia and Whitmer, there was a non-violent coup using arcane process to oust someone who wanted neutrality, they would absolutely use violent means to do what's necessary. They installed a military dictatorship in Greece in the last cold war and would not hesitate to place Germany or other places under a similar yoke though would likely prefer to oust elements against them and spin up a tail of their treason and with the loyal German empire loving, immigrant scapegoating press I'm sure they'd have little issue at present or the near future doing so.

There are only two hopes I think for near-term freedom from the US yoke:

1. mass movement building and massive sustained protests and organized economic shut-downs to force the issue (even then 50/50 it goes to an open repressive reactionary dictatorship). It's either that or 2) hoping US decline accelerates before they can drag the rebuilt German/Euro army into wars to sustain the empire in the 2030s and that it picks up to such a pace that they cannot maintain their occupation and control over Germany. Frankly I believe US decline will be slow and take many decades so the realistic hope is movement building. From what I've seen of the self-flagellating, genocide apologizing, self-hating, anti-Soviet German left they have their work cut out for them.

I saw a take that I fully believe as it so describes the deep mentality of Euro-liberals. Namely that the lesson Euro-liberals who run and love the EU today take from WW2 is that America will come and prevent Russia from de-Nazifying you in a war, and will prop up your fascist, reactionary people, install them in government, protect them and help build and maintain a joint bulwark against Russians and communists. Not that genocide is bad, not that war within Europe is devastating and self-defeating, because the wrong people (Nazis) were all installed in positions of power post-war and they learned to not do fascism openly without American help and that's it and that's why Trump has them so upset because Biden worked them all up to do aggressive support of open lovers of Nazism in Ukraine and now they've been blue-balled or feel the threat of it. Add on their decline, the loss of their neo-colonies in Africa, the drain of industry because of sanctions and its just even worse. And the only ones waiting in the wings to supplant these are the open admirers of fascism, the open far-right reactionary parties prepared to conduct a purge of immigrants, to scapegoat on that basis and build Europe up for war to be used as a tool of the US. They've been gaining in Germany, they've been gaining in France. German government pretended it might try to crush them but its hand was held back by the bourgeoisie who wish to have this tool available soon. It looks bleak.

Maybe the US hold on them slips but I think there's a good chance that the European bourgeoisie without a much bigger stab in the back by the US (more than just abandoning Ukraine) still operate under the post-war delusion that they must maintain links with the US at all costs. More importantly they may be conscious enough of their class to recognize their position and understand the consequences of China rising unchallenged in the long-run and be willing to make a sacrifice as they have been doing for the safety of global capitalist hegemony even at the expense of their local profits.

I earnestly believe this will not have a chance to come to the point of causing tensions with France as they will be welded together, united in purpose to defend "the garden" in an attack on China or an attack on Africa to subjugate it again, to pull it away from BRICS and China and get to extracting again. That or a suicide run on Russia (after which they sit in the ruins of nuclear wasteland and pout at each other and the Americans and whine that the evil Russians ruined it all).

If you don't have income the IRS knows about then I'm pretty sure no. Though I'm not sure if they can do things like try and take a car whose title is listed in your name or get a lien against that or a house or other big things you own. They might be able to garnish things like state benefits though, like money for the disabled, they can definitely garnish social security including disability. They can garnish things like unemployment I THINK and they can sue you and try and get a list of your assets and seize them to sell them off to try and pay for part of it.

Conspiracy theory 2: Trump is just doing this to pump the economy with lots of (panic) consumption so he can proclaim that his first 100 days resulted in tremendous success and is proof he is a genius unlike Biden.

I guess he could always try stabbed in the back? Say the tarrifs would have worked if geatures vaguely "they" hadn't interfered or refused to play ball or whatever with "they" being some group, a portion of corporations or a group of controlling interests in them slated for sidelining or just you know trans people and poc and stuff.

Just started reading, but God, these people are so much better organized than us, it's depressing

it's not for lack of trying, but the far right doesn't deal with wreckers and state interference to the same degree the left does.

It's not just that. These people simply take the prevailing ideology pounded into everyone with omnipresent propaganda to one of its logical conclusions.

You can get a lot of people that way, you have a big pool. By contrast to become an organized member of a left-wing political movement you must reject everything you've been taught, the entire mainstream media, the dominant entertainment narrative and begin entertaining explanations for things that leave you alienated from liberals and conservatives if voiced too loudly and openly while these reactionaries can get more and more cooked and extreme and still retain normie Republican friends and relations after expressing all but their most direct agitation for violence type opinions. Simply holding to normal Americans that the US is a force for bad things, does imperialism, shouldn't be supported is a sure-fire way to be cast out as an extremist by co-workers, friends, family, etc. On the other hand the simple reactionary contention that the US government is too woke, that uh they're infringing on individual rights and liberties, that we need some sort of mass reactionary movement to take back our rights will be nodded along by or shrugged off by most Americans.

Add on that most self-aware members of the left are much less likely to have ever been cops or joined the military and the years of experience and network effects of being former either of those don't exist for the left either meaning it's stray individuals who took the time to train or radicalized after leaving the military who have to find each other.

The consequences are also lesser. You won't have any kind of mass movement to free leftists imprisoned on trumped up charges and they'll be gleefully condemned and distanced by liberals and the Democrats who falsely pass themselves off as something resembling left in the US, meanwhile the wider right will immediately rally around anyone but an open neo-Nazi and proclaim the government did them dirty. The feds and local cops see these militias as mostly lost sheep, they have similar politics after all they just think these people take it a bit too far, but at the end of the day they like them are reactionaries at heart so there's less interest in pressure there.

In all fairness that only works until it doesn't. Get arrested at such a rally? Fired for cause, violation of your pledge and barred from future employment with the state. Someone, a co-worker, a member of the public, one of the many zionist doxxing orgs screenshots your social media criticism of zionists and support for Palestine and sends it in? Believe it or not absolutely fired and barred from future employment.

This is what idealism does to you.

Hmm today we will openly, defiantly, and unambiguously break the law.

Hmm we've gotten a legal demand to stop and a lawsuit, they say if we stop, apologize and promise never to do it again they'll settle for a pittance but we are taking a moral stand here and believe our moral philosophical arguments hold more weight than the law as written that clearly places us unambiguously in violation of the law.

Court proceeds to ignore their philosophical arguments and enforce bourgeois law as written

This was beyond obvious as the outcome. Bourgeois courts don't serve some public interest.

So instead now we stand to lose an invaluable, irreplaceable archive of not just the internet over decades of time but also rare media such as movies, TV shows, music videos, and much more all also archived with them. And for what? Because someone couldn't back down and thought that courts in the US served the common interest instead of the wealthy. Because someone forgot the golden rule of piracy and breaking IP laws and that's keep quiet about it.