Why does the US need to solve the issue?
I agree -- the U.S. should stay out of the conflict by immediately ceasing all shipments of bombs and money to Israel.
With a policy as popular as abortion, a good radicalization tactic is asking people:
E.g., "would you lie to the cops to protect someone who had an abortion?"
A small population also makes it easier to successfully repress budding social movements.
If there's a silver lining, I don't think this is limited to leftist spaces, or even to online ones.
Think it's more that there's too much evidence of killings, it's gone on too long to deny, there are too many statements from Israelis at all levels to the effect of "yes we want to erase them," and that there isn't any plausible excuse anymore.
India sticks out as a country that is not giving significant aid to Ukraine, yet lost votes.
I do think the Ukraine war has had a negative impact on incumbents, it's just probably a smaller "that's one more thing that sucks and I'll blame the incumbent for" than a larger "I'm directly opposed to my government's support of this" sentiment.
If you still think Democrats actually care about a potential mass deportation, ask yourself why Biden hasn't simply pardoned all undocumented immigrants.
Immigration offenses are federal crimes, the president can pardon federal crimes, and you don't actually have to be charged with anything or convicted to receive a pardon (see Nixon).
What they all have in common is that they're incumbents. The article this appears to be from is paywalled, so we don't know what all the data points are. There could be some countries in there that don't support Ukraine, or that support it so little it wouldn't be a real factor in their elections.
I'm very skeptical of Ukraine (and Palestine) having major direct impacts on the U.S. election because of how little most voters care about any foreign policy issue, sometimes even when it's U.S. troops directly fighting.
This seems like a worthwhile observation from the comments, though:
Anything that happens in the world gets blamed on the incumbent and than amplified by politically adjacent media sources
No such thing as an “incumbent advantage” anymore given how effective constant negative coverage from oppositional media is
Have the article this is from?
I think the argument that this is directly tied to Ukraine is weakened by the fact that every incumbent lost, not just the ones supporting Ukraine.
Everyone I know voted. No one I know irl felt democrats didn’t go far enough left.
Yeah, if they thought Democrats were too far right they probably were among the 11 million who voted for Biden but stayed home this time.
When you start locking protesters up for a year, they're going to start doing something worth getting locked up for a year.