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submitted 2 weeks ago by humanspiral@lemmy.ca to c/energy@slrpnk.net

cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/59615557

Includes 1% O&M costs, 5% financing "mortgage" fully paid back in 25 years.

Project Summary: Nebraska "Zero-Cost" 1 kW Baseload Datacenter

This model establishes a net-zero electricity cost for a 1 kW continuous datacenter load in Nebraska. It utilizes a Hybrid CapEx Strategy (Chinese hardware + 35% Western Premium) and is financed at a 5% interest rate.

1. Core System Configuration

  • Solar Array: 53 kW DC - Sized to generate sufficient annual H2 revenue to offset all debt.
  • LFP Battery: 150 kWh - Sized for 24-hour summer H2 operation (130 kWh nightly discharge).
  • Electrolyzer: 12 kW - High-utilization unit for summer surplus conversion.
  • Baseload Load: 1 kW - Constant 24/7/365 datacenter power requirement.

2. Financial & Cost Assumptions

  • Financing: 5% annual interest rate over a 25-year amortization term.
  • Western Premium: A 35% markup on all base Chinese hardware costs to cover logistics, U.S. import duties, and Nebraska-based labor and permitting.
  • Hardware Base Pricing (Pre-Premium):
    • Solar Panels: $0.35/Watt
    • LFP Batteries: $80/kWh
    • Electrolyzer + BoS: $500/kW
  • Annual O&M: 1% of total CapEx per year for maintenance and insurance.

3. Operational & Environmental Assumptions

  • Location: Nebraska, USA (~41°N Latitude).
  • Solar Yield: 1,400 kWh/year per 1 kW of installed solar.
  • Peak Sun Hours (PSH):
    • Summer Max (June 21): 7.5 PSH.
    • Winter Average (Dec/Jan): 1.9 PSH.
  • H2 Efficiency: 50 kWh per 1 kg of Hydrogen produced.
  • Water Feedstock: ~9 litres of deionized water per 1 kg of H2.
  • Byproducts: Oxygen (O2) is vented; no revenue or compression costs included.

4. Economic Performance (The "Zero-Cost" Result)

  • Total System CapEx: $49,316
  • Annual Expenses (Debt + O&M): $3,989
  • Annual H2 Yield: ~2,000 kg
  • Required H2 Sale Price: $2.00/kg to achieve breakeven.
  • Net Cost of Electricity: $0.00 / kWh (fully subsidized by H2 sales).

5. Seasonal & Winter Analysis

Summer Max (June 21)

  • System achieves 24-hour saturation of the 12 kW electrolyzer.
  • Total Daily Production: ~397 kWh.

Winter Average (Dec/Jan)

  • Average Daily Production: 100.7 kWh.
  • Daily Baseload Demand: 24.0 kWh.
  • Average Winter Surplus: 76.7 kWh/day (used for H2 or sold).

Resiliency (Dark Day Buffer)

  • The 150 kWh battery can sustain the 1 kW load for ~6 days of 0% solar production.
  • Deficit Strategy: Any deficit beyond 6 days is covered by Employee BEVs at a payout of 20¢/kWh.
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[-] humanspiral@lemmy.ca 3 points 2 weeks ago

This is without grid connection. If grid connected, and wholesale exported electricity revenue of 15c/kwh on cold sunny winter day or summer heat wave (72 days potential) would be 3.7 times more profitable than H2 electrolysis (assuming only $2/kg revenue), and generate over $1000/kw. Recent winter storm in PJM area spiked to $3/kwh. It wasn't necessarily sunny during spike, but if there is a wholesale participation contract, paying employee BEV owners a huge premium is still way more than 15c/kwh. There were very cold sunny places with $1/kwh after the storm. Can consider closing the datacenter those days, but the large battery, can also monetize peak scarcity during the storm.

this post was submitted on 31 Jan 2026
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