Jesus, people analyzing Debian releases like if it was the stock market 😂

It's been reported (Debian mailing list, Phoronix, Linuxiac) that Debian 13 will likely be out this summer. The hard freeze is on May 15 and usually that means the actual release is pretty close, just a couple of months away.

Phoronix speculated that ,since Debian 12 went from initial freeze to stable release in 5 months, Debian 13 could release around August.

Yeah, I just finally updated the last remaining servers to bookworm this weekend, so a next release is probably coming soon. Proven by earlier experiences

Dude chill it's not crypto

The day I do the old fashioned sudo apt update && sudo apt upgrade and everything suddenly breaks is when I know I’m on Debian 13.

i made a spreadsheet of debian release dates, graphed the days between releases and calculated a probable release date based on last release date + average days between releases* +/- 1 std deviation

if i remember correctly, bookworm was within my predicted range (apr-aug 2023, i think) and we're now fully within trixie's predicted range

*before etch (4.0), release intervals varied wildly, so I don't take those into consideration

That's a nice graphic. I'd love to see something comparing it to a rolling release or fedora.

Unfortunately, it wouldn't tell you anything because you'd compare apples with oranges.

But since opensuse has a (multiple) stable and rolling release, how would it look there? More like the testing release?

What's the mysterious purple line? Red Hat?