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Threat modelling tip: instead of a grand catastrophe, consider two simultaneous inconveniences (lemmy.ca)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ca/post/1165015

A lot of prepper content seems to wrongly focus on grand sudden events-Hollywood-style collapses of society or environment. The reality, from the fall of Rome to Lebanon this century, is that collapse is usually a slow crumbling where the things people rely on become less and less reliable.

A useful intuition pump is to do your threat modelling with two likely events that, if they happened separately, would only be inconveniences, but together pose a serious threat.

For example:

Your kid is away at summer camp and there’s a gasoline supply shock.

A storm washes out your road and your dad gets readmitted to the hospital.

There’s a wildfire and your car battery is dead.

What are the two most likely inconveniences given your loved ones and where you live?

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Stuck in a freeway traffic jam with no gas stations (restrooms and restaurants too) nearby.

Actually also, the lockdowns we had from the pandemic had been one way to stress-test preps. No easy way to go out and but groceries? Simple, just consume from your food stocks.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

Always add in the modifier "and you have to poop."

Gotta be prepared to poop.