Nobody wanted Trudeau, that much is true, but I think Poilievre mistook that to mean that people wanted him, that is not as true.
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How weird is that, given that just a few months ago the Conservatives enjoyed a 25-point lead over the hapless Liberals? If the latest Nanos numbers hold up, that would represent a 31-point collapse in support for the Conservative Party of Canada over a very short period of time.
When the post-mortem of Election 2025 is done, Trump, Trudeau’s resignation and the end of the carbon tax will all be important considerations. So too will Carney’s ascension to the leadership.
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Poilievre knows people don’t want him. The only group that wants him are young MAGA types.
How do I know that he knows that? Because he has Harper out there campaigning for him to older conservative voters. He knows those folks would rather vote for Carney than him. That’s why he’s trying to trick them into thinking that he’s Harper’s buddy. It’s not gonna work.
The Conservatives are trying to pull together an impossible coalition of older centre-right Canadians and younger post-truth populists. I’m extremely doubtful that they’ll succeed. But they don’t have any other choice.
This one has been so weird it feels like it's my first one (and it's really not). All the dynamics and big swings happened before the campaign period, and it's just been weirdly, ominously still the whole time during.
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I find it interesting, and concerning, that in more MAGA-friendly corners of the internet it seems pretty common to see Canadians who are convinced the polls are all fake and manipulated and that Poilievre is headed for a sure majority, just based off of rally attendance and anecdotal observations of lawn signs.
It's a completely different reality from anyone who's not in that bubble of conservative social media.
Pierres plan on the economy seems to be to reduce regulation, like C69 and create pre-permitted pathlines for pipelines, which would make it so that more private investment would happen. While Carney wants to fund infrastructure, splitting the budget into consumption versus infrastructure spending, and having Canada own the assets like Trudeau Seniors original vision with Petro Canada. So is it starving the beast, but on the left, in order to get more government ownership rather than less?
Thats how I'm seeing things anyways, though the cons have yet to even release a costed platform. Its also been a decade of stagnant per capita GDP, skyrocketing home prices, and now rising food bank usage, was that all part of this plan as well or was Trudeau just economically challenged?
Also how much do the same MP's have as far as power, is Carney controlling every puppet string now in a dictatorial fashion, and why did he let abject failures like Sean Fraser, whose policies he publically denounced as destroying the poors standard of living, back into the party?
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