this post was submitted on 10 Nov 2024
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c/cfb Poll Week 12 (lemmy.world)
submitted 1 week ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
5 comments fedilink hide all child comments
 

https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSfddEB6vxcxfJVhO-f3l1F0g8Z_Q-_TTaa9MDSuEs8KDSrQrA/viewform?usp=sf_link

Alright, we're in the endgame now y'all. Expect to see some serious movement this week...

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 4 days ago

Mine for the week, I feel like those last 5 spots I'm just trying to find half decent teams, even though the top several are obviously contenders

  1. Oregon
  2. Indiana
  3. Tennessee
  4. Texas
  5. Ohio State
  6. Army
  7. LSU
  8. BYU
  9. Ole Miss
  10. Notre Dame
  11. Georgia
  12. Penn State
  13. Miami (FL)
  14. Boise State
  15. South Carolina
  16. alabama
  17. Texas A&M
  18. SMU
  19. Washington State
  20. Vanderbilt
  21. Illinois
  22. Iowa State
  23. Louisville
  24. Kansas State
  25. Pittsburgh
[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago* (last edited 6 days ago)

Unsurprisingly, there was a lot of movement in my poll. Miami, Georgia, LSU, 💩sburgh, and Minnesota drop 10 or more places, with the last three dropping out of the Top 25. But this biggest loser is... Cincinnati (-27) after losing to WVU (more on that later).

The biggest winners will be no surprise: GT, UCLA, WVU, Rutgers, Kansas, and Duke all jumping 20+ spots. My home team of WVU makes an surprisingly large leap of 23 spots to 41st place with their win over then #38 Cincinnati (5-3). I'm torn about this win, because I don't want to give our AD any excuses to keep Neal Brown any longer than we need to...

  1. Oregon
  2. Indiana
  3. Notre Dame
  4. Ohio State
  5. Texas
  6. SMU
  7. Ole Miss
  8. Penn State
  9. Alabama
  10. BYU
  11. Tennessee
  12. Colorado
  13. Miami
  14. South Carolina
  15. Clemson
  16. Tulane
  17. Army
  18. Georgia
  19. Boise State
  20. Texas A&M
  21. Louisville
  22. Louisiana
  23. Washington State
  24. Kansas State
  25. Arizona State

:::spoiler Full Rankings

Rank Team Record Rating SOS
1 Oregon (10-0) 1414 981
2 Indiana (10-0) 1402 925
3 Notre Dame (8-1) 1384 1001
4 Ohio State (8-1) 1377 1034
5 Texas (8-1) 1354 1013
6 SMU (8-1) 1342 953
7 Ole Miss (8-2) 1339 983
8 Penn State (8-1) 1314 1039
9 Alabama (7-2) 1305 1144
10 BYU (9-0) 1289 926
11 Tennessee (8-1) 1289 901
12 Colorado (7-2) 1280 967
13 Miami (9-1) 1266 958
14 South Carolina (6-3) 1261 1088
15 Clemson (7-2) 1252 997
16 Tulane (8-2) 1251 890
17 Army (9-0) 1249 778
18 Georgia (7-2) 1237 1046
19 Boise State (8-1) 1236 943
20 Texas A&M (7-2) 1231 1036
21 Louisville (6-3) 1223 1112
22 Louisiana (8-1) 1205 850
23 Washington State (8-1) 1197 902
24 Kansas State (7-2) 1182 1001
25 Arizona State (7-2) 1171 941
26 LSU (6-3) 1165 1074
27 Missouri (7-2) 1156 961
28 Pittsburgh (7-2) 1142 973
29 Western Kentucky (7-2) 1134 848
30 Georgia Tech (6-4) 1131 1016
31 Duke (7-3) 1125 973
32 Minnesota (6-4) 1124 961
33 UNLV (7-2) 1123 907
34 Baylor (5-4) 1120 969
35 UCLA (4-5) 1116 1162
36 James Madison (7-2) 1112 833
37 Vanderbilt (6-4) 1111 1000
38 Navy (7-2) 1110 869
39 Georgia Southern (6-3) 1107 957
40 Iowa (6-4) 1106 993
41 West Virginia (5-4) 1102 979
42 Jacksonville State (6-3) 1102 833
43 Syracuse (6-3) 1100 971
44 Memphis (8-2) 1098 828
45 Iowa State (7-2) 1097 970
46 Illinois (6-3) 1090 982
47 Miami (OH) (5-4) 1088 954
48 Marshall (6-3) 1088 896
49 TCU (6-4) 1083 946
50 Virginia Tech (5-5) 1082 1080
51 North Carolina (5-4) 1082 970
52 Texas Tech (6-4) 1079 1018
53 Michigan (5-5) 1072 1121
54 California (5-4) 1072 901
55 Arkansas (5-4) 1071 980
56 Sam Houston (7-2) 1070 878
57 UConn (7-3) 1070 823
58 Boston College (5-4) 1068 991
59 Virginia (5-4) 1059 1002
60 Washington (5-5) 1054 1031
61 Houston (4-5) 1052 1031
62 Wisconsin (5-4) 1050 969
63 Colorado State (6-3) 1048 884
64 Ohio (6-3) 1045 828
65 Cincinnati (5-4) 1041 1032
66 Florida (4-5) 1034 1059
67 Nebraska (5-4) 1030 1013
68 Texas State (5-4) 1028 925
69 Toledo (6-3) 1018 878
70 Old Dominion (4-5) 1009 1001
71 USC (4-5) 1003 1059
72 East Carolina (5-4) 1003 862
73 Rutgers (5-4) 1001 954
74 Bowling Green (5-4) 998 886
75 Kansas (3-6) 993 1033
76 Liberty (6-2) 992 761
77 San José State (6-3) 990 809
78 Michigan State (4-5) 984 1056
79 Maryland (4-5) 978 1045
80 Oklahoma (5-5) 976 1083
81 NC State (5-5) 976 970
82 UCF (4-6) 975 1029
83 North Texas (5-4) 967 915
84 Wake Forest (4-5) 955 1016
85 Northern Illinois (5-4) 953 905
86 Northwestern (4-5) 948 992
87 Auburn (3-6) 948 978
88 South Alabama (4-5) 944 905
89 Buffalo (5-4) 941 884
90 Kentucky (3-6) 927 1104
91 Coastal Carolina (5-4) 921 926
92 Western Michigan (5-4) 920 882
93 Utah (4-5) 910 947
94 Arkansas State (5-4) 904 883
95 Hawai'i (4-6) 900 900
115 Troy (2-7) 776 895
116 UAB (2-7) 775 966
117 Stanford (2-7) 772 1064
118 Utah State (2-7) 771 919
119 Central Michigan (3-6) 768 884
120 Wyoming (2-7) 766 891
121 Air Force (2-7) 763 935
122 Nevada (3-8) 762 967
123 Tulsa (3-6) 759 841
124 Middle Tennessee (3-7) 735 933
125 Purdue (1-8) 725 1058
126 Akron (2-7) 725 979
127 Georgia State (2-7) 723 991
128 UTEP (2-8) 722 864
129 Florida Atlantic (2-7) 685 919
130 New Mexico State (2-7) 677 892
131 Southern Miss (1-8) 670 947
132 Massachusetts (2-7) 666 853
133 Kennesaw State (1-8) 633 908
134 Kent State (0-9) 560 980
[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago (1 children)

My ballot. Computer poll. I realized this week that in my haste to calculate last week's results, I forgot to make adjustments to all the teams that were on bye and thus over-ranked each of them. D'oh. I corrected it for this week, so that's why the change values will not line up with what I posted last week.

I am amused that despite Alabama's blowout win, they only move up one place (the computer definitely predicted that result, too, as it is really a power-rating kind of formula). Similar situation with Ole Miss and Georgia (it did not think very highly of the dogs). Virginia Tech baffles me, holding the same position for 3 weeks like a stuck pixel.

::: spoiler Full ranking:

Rank Change Team Record Points
1 +4 Ole Miss 8-2 657
2 +1 Ohio State 8-1 650
3 +1 Notre Dame 8-1 645
4 -2 Oregon 10-0 641
5 -4 Indiana 10-0 635
6 -1 Texas 8-1 624
7 +1 Alabama 7-2 616
8 -1 Miami (FL) 9-1 571
9 +4 Tennessee 8-1 551
10 +6 Penn State 8-1 548
11 +6 South Carolina 6-3 545
12 +3 Clemson 7-2 539
13 -3 Georgia 7-2 537
14 - Virginia Tech 5-5 521
15 +9 Tulane 8-2 513
16 +2 Iowa 6-4 512
17 -8 SMU 8-1 511
18 -7 USC 4-5 499
T19 +4 BYU 9-0 498
T19 +2 Minnesota 6-4 498
21 +15 Georgia Tech 6-4 490
22 -10 Texas A&M 7-2 488
23 +2 Arizona State 7-2 484
24 -4 Vanderbilt 6-4 483
25 +1 Iowa State 7-2 474
26 +1 Army 9-0 471
27 +11 TCU 6-4 470
28 +9 Colorado 7-2 466
29 +3 UCF 4-6 456
30 -11 Louisville 6-3 455
31 +15 JMU 7-2 452
32 +15 Duke 7-3 450
33 -11 Kansas State 7-2 447
34 +5 Michigan 5-5 443
35 +8 Texas Tech 6-4 440
36 +5 Boise State 8-1 435
T37 +5 Pittsburgh 7-2 434
T37 +18 California 5-4 434
39 -5 Washington 5-5 430
40 +8 UNLV 7-2 428
41 +11 Connecticut 7-3 427
42 -7 LSU 6-3 425
T43 +6 Memphis 8-2 424
T43 +10 Jacksonville State 6-3 424
45 +4 Cincinnati 5-4 422
46 -18 North Carolina 5-4 417
T47 -18 Arkansas 5-4 412
T47 +19 Kansas 3-6 412
49 +24 Louisiana 8-1 409
50 -20 Wisconsin 5-4 408
51 -20 Baylor 5-4 407
52 -20 Kentucky 3-6 406
53 +6 Oklahoma 5-5 404
T54 +14 Washington State 8-1 402
T54 +14 Missouri 7-2 402
T54 +12 Boston College 5-4 402
T54 +6 Utah 4-5 402
58 +14 Navy 7-2 401
59 +16 Texas State 5-4 399
60 +3 Syracuse 6-3 396
61 +3 Miami (OH) 5-4 395
62 +13 Northern Illinois 5-4 394
63 -23 Illinois 6-3 392
64 -2 NC State 5-5 391
T65 -22 Nebraska 5-4 388
T65 -22 Northwestern 4-5 388
67 +12 West Virginia 5-4 383
68 +9 Western Kentucky 7-2 381
69 -18 Sam Houston 7-2 378
70 +3 Fresno State 5-5 377
71 -10 Florida 4-5 374
T72 -18 Auburn 3-6 373
T72 -2 Oklahoma State 3-7 373
74 +21 Ohio 6-3 368
T75 +11 Bowling Green 5-4 367
T75 -19 Old Dominion 4-5 367
T75 +12 UCLA 4-5 367
T78 +12 Virginia 5-4 365
T78 -21 Houston 4-5 365
80 +9 Rutgers 5-4 364
81 +17 Marshall 6-3 361
82 -24 Toledo 6-3 360
83 -2 Nevada 3-8 358
84 - Maryland 4-5 349
85 -21 South Alabama 4-5 347
86 +9 San Jose State 6-3 344
T87 -16 Georgia Southern 6-3 343
T87 +5 New Mexico 4-6 343
89 +17 ECU 5-4 336
90 +4 Mississippi State 2-8 328
91 +4 Louisiana Tech 3-6 326
92 +1 UNT 5-4 325
93 -15 FIU 3-6 323
94 -15 Eastern Michigan 5-4 322
95 +15 Liberty 6-2 319
T96 +11 Coastal Carolina 5-4 318
T96 -8 Florida State 1-9 318
T98 -16 Michigan State 4-5 317
T98 -16 Arizona 3-6 317
T100 -16 Colorado State 6-3 316
T100 +1 Rice 3-7 316
T102 -3 Western Michigan 5-4 313
T102 +1 Wake Forest 4-5 313
104 - Hawaii 4-6 309
105 -1 Oregon State 4-5 301
106 -15 Buffalo 5-4 296
107 +6 UTEP 2-8 291
108 +1 UL Monroe 5-4 285
109 -9 UTSA 4-5 282
110 +1 USF 4-5 281
111 -9 Troy 2-7 278
112 +5 San Diego State 3-6 276
T113 -5 Wyoming 2-7 263
T113 - Georgia State 2-7 263
115 -2 Arkansas State 5-4 260
116 +3 Appalachian State 4-5 257
117 +4 Central Michigan 3-6 253
118 -6 Stanford 2-7 252
119 +8 Air Force 2-7 249
120 +4 Ball State 3-6 248
T121 -3 FAU 2-7 247
T121 +2 UAB 2-7 247
123 -7 Charlotte 3-6 243
124 -2 Middle Tennessee 3-7 239
125 -5 Temple 2-7 228
126 +4 Kennesaw State 1-8 227
127 +2 Utah State 2-7 221
128 -3 Tulsa 3-6 212
129 -3 Akron 2-7 210
130 +3 New Mexico State 2-7 204
T131 -3 Massachusetts 2-7 198
T131 - Purdue 1-8 198
133 -1 Southern Mississippi 1-8 189
134 - Kent State 0-9 144
[–] [email protected] 3 points 6 days ago

My poll really doesn't like Georgia either! It has been begrudgingly moving them up with each win. But they drop 10 spots after losing to the #11 team (according to my poll), behind five 2-loss teams and one 3-loss team.

My poll must not be impressed by their margin of victory (vs expectations) or something, even though that is a pretty small portion of the equation. Most of the rating comes from a modified ELO that only cares about win/loss.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 5 days ago

Computer poll based on resume and margin of victory. I am as displeased by Alabama's high ranking as you are.

  1. Oregon (1) | 10 - 0 | LW: 1 ( - )
  2. Ohio State (6.93) | 8 - 1 | LW: 2 ( - )
  3. Indiana (8.37) | 10 - 0 | LW: 4 (+1)
  4. Alabama (10.13) | 7 - 2 | LW: 7 (+3)
  5. Texas (12.13) | 8 - 1 | LW: 6 (+1)
  6. Notre Dame (13.04) | 8 - 1 | LW: 8 (+2)
  7. Penn State (13.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 10 (+3)
  8. BYU (13.23) | 9 - 0 | LW: 5 (-3)
  9. SMU (17.35) | 8 - 1 | LW: 11 (+2)
  10. Miami (18.92) | 9 - 1 | LW: 3 (-7)
  11. Boise State (20.82) | 8 - 1 | LW: 12 (+1)
  12. Ole Miss (23.06) | 8 - 2 | LW: 17 (+5)
  13. Georgia (25.75) | 7 - 2 | LW: 9 (-4)
  14. Tennessee (26.06) | 8 - 1 | LW: 15 (+1)
  15. Texas A&M (27.8) | 7 - 2 | LW: 18 (+3)
  16. Army (28.83) | 9 - 0 | LW: 21 (+5)
  17. Clemson (29.28) | 7 - 2 | LW: 20 (+3)
  18. Washington State (29.7) | 8 - 1 | LW: 16 (-2)
  19. South Carolina (30.97) | 6 - 3 | LW: 24 (+5)
  20. Louisville (31.35) | 6 - 3 | LW: 22 (+2)
  21. Kansas State (32.3) | 7 - 2 | LW: 23 (+2)
  22. Colorado (32.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 25 (+3)
  23. Pittsburgh (35.11) | 7 - 2 | LW: 14 (-9)
  24. Louisiana (35.55) | 8 - 1 | LW: 28 (+4)
  25. Iowa State (35.69) | 7 - 2 | LW: 13 (-12)

First five out:

  1. Missouri (35.93) | 7 - 2 | LW: 30 (+4)
  2. LSU (36.51) | 6 - 3 | LW: 19 (-8)
  3. Tulane (36.63) | 8 - 2 | LW: 26 (-2)
  4. UNLV (40.72) | 7 - 2 | LW: 31 (+2)
  5. Arizona State (42.56) | 7 - 2 | LW: 36 (+6)