this post was submitted on 21 Jun 2023
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Fediverse

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founded 1 year ago
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In just 3 days more than 500.000 new users!! Lemmy for power, we will be legion, expect us!

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I read a few days ago that lemmy doesn't count lurkers as "users", just accounts that actually do stuff. Is it possible the number is much higher?

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago

Hmmm, what do you mean, that if I'm stay without activity for 2 weeks, then I would be a lurker? Idk the mean of that word sorry. But yeah, it could be.

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

I wish my bank account grew like this graph! Sadly, it’s the reverse

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

Hahaha facts lmao 😂😂

[–] [email protected] 0 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Most of them are bots, I estimate around 200k real users

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

I agree, based on these statistics. Prior to the obvious jump in bot-farmed accounts, there were about 162000 active users with an active user proportion of about 0.186 (somewhere around >29000 active users).

Now there are 649k lemmy users and an active user proportion of 0.055 (~35600 according to the dashboard). If we assume those 35600 users represent the pre-bot-farming ratio of 0.186, we get 35600/0.186 or about just over 191000.

That's still an increase of probably 30k true users, unless the proportion of lurkers have also suddenly drastically increased. I don't think that's true, because, pre-bot-farming, when the user base started growing with the Reddit debacle, the proportion of active users increased accordingly. I assume that's because new users are excited to help grow the community.

Still, in the past two days alone active users went up by over 5k (15%). Maybe that'll continue exponentially, and there'll be 95k (500k total non-bot) users two weeks from now, or maybe it'll continue linearly and there'll be 70k (~385k) users.

I don't know why I spent so long thinking about this.