this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2023
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No Stupid Questions

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What the title says. I think there is still a long way for that to happen but i've been hopeful. What do you think?

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago (1 children)

It depends on how many content creators and important community members will be ready to move from centralized social networks to here

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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

Probably not. And if it ever gets too big, they will find a way to fuck it up 😉

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

No, I don’t think it will grow as big as the other socials. Because for the average Joe Normie it is way too complicated to understand what the fediverse is, and where they should sign up or post. In other words: the entry barrier is substantially higher than the competition.

However with simplified browsers like Wefwef it makes things a bit easier, and I do think it can grow reasonably big. Maybe in the future when there is more information available and the fediverse has matured.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

Yes, will it? No.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

No and I hope they don’t. At first that’s what I wanted for mastodon / Lemmy but as I’ve been here I’ve realized that having too many people invariably dilutes the quality of content since popularity means shouting over more voices and content which is generic or manipulative (rage bait) or appeals to the least common denominator bubbles up. There’s a critical mass needed for quality and content variety, but too much and it falls apart.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

No and I hope they don’t. At first that’s what I wanted for mastodon / Lemmy but as I’ve been here I’ve realized that having too many people invariably dilutes the quality of content since popularity means shouting over more voices and content which is generic or manipulative (rage bait) or appeals to the least common denominator bubbles up. There’s a critical mass needed for quality and content variety, but too much and it falls apart.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

I hope not tbh. But I’m selfish. Let the masses have their garbage if they choose.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

It’s inevitable for the federation to dominate. I think it will take a few years though

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago)

Mainstream users value ease of use in a way only a centralised service can offer. Also any social service has the hurdle of being where everyone else is, so every other person in your circles must follow what the simplest and laziest one bothers to use. If you have to resort explaining anything how the platform technically works to use it or to find you, you have already lost.

But I think these platforms are crossing the critical mass (if not already happened) to be useful and fun for those who choose to overcome the tiny hurdles of using the platform. It may be even their strength that not everyone and their mother is active there.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

I don't think it will happen until there are enough informed users, unique information and welcoming communities that create a strong reason to come here. Currently it's quite nice and these things do exist to an extent, but due to the relatively small size the communities feel much less bustling than those on Reddit and I don't think most people we see any advantages to use Lemmy over Reddit. Lemmy will gradually grow, but unless Reddit completely implodes I doubt there will be a significant enough migration here that we would be able to call it mainstream.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago (2 children)
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[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

replace? no. and that is okay, to be honest and i think part of the appeal is because of the smallness and genuine interactions, deep discussions etc

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

Imo, Reddit has no moat. Twitter's only moat is community notes. In principle, community notes could be replicated and scaled to the size of the internet, adding comments to any arbitrary link and run like Wikipedia.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

See "Threads" from meta it tries to go on the fediverse

[–] [email protected] 2 points 2 years ago

There is a path but a lot of work needs to happen and a established community directory needs to be established so people can find what they are looking for.

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