this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2024
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Oh whew, because I was starting to get worried...you know, based on the ample polling showing that Biden is not only down overall, but more importantly, down significantly among most major demographics that makeup the Democratic coalition.
That’s what the press is saying but the economy is in a phoenix right now.
The world economy is.... about to burst into flames, and be reborn from it's ashes...? And that's going to ensure Biden's electoral victory...?
Setting aside mythical firebirds, I'm not talking about the press, I'm talking about the voters, their responses to pollsters, and how none of that data says "Trump definitely won't win re-election".
A best case scenario, that can actually be supported by current available data, is that it's a coin flip.
Biden is leading in polls also.
That would be good news, if we had a popular vote.
Since we don't, the polls that matter are those in battleground states and demographic polls to gauge base party/coalition support.
If you really want to get depressed, do your own digging into the polling trends for traditional Democratic coalition members by demographic subgroups.
No thanks. Trust your sources.