this post was submitted on 15 Jul 2023
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Death to NATO
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While I agree with the overall sentiment, that thread as too many data scientist moments. You can't just look at a single war in history with very different dynamics and go "the threshold must be around 3%" and expect to be taken seriously. There are some good points (such as the Ukrainian society being overall comprised of older people), but the stacking of speculations to make bold predictions doesn't help those good points.