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Future LLMs will be progressively worse - and possibly change how humans write (beehaw.org)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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I was thinking about this after a discussion at work about large language models (LLMs) - the initial scrape of the internet before Chat GPT become publicly usable was probably the last truly high quality scrape of human-made content any model will get. The second Chat GPT went public, the data pool became tainted with people publishing information from it. Future language models will have increasingly large percentages of their data tainted by AI-generated content, skewing the results away from how humans actually write. To get actual human content, they may need to turn to transcriptions of audio recordings or phone calls for training, and even that wouldn't be quite correct because people write differently than they speak.

I sort of wonder if eventually people will start being influenced in how they choose to write based on seeing this AI content. If teachers use AI-generated texts in school lessons, especially at lower levels, will that effect how kids end up writing and formatting their work? It's weird to think about the wider implications of how this AI stuff will ultimately impact society.

What's your predictions? Is there a future where AI can get a clean, human-made scrape? Are we doomed to start writing like AIs?

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[–] [email protected] 11 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

I've heard this theory. Feels like unrealistic hopeful wishes of people who want AI to fail.

LLM processing will be a huge tool for pruning and labeling training sets. Humans can sample and validate the work. These better training sets will produce better LLMs.

Who cares is a chunk of text was written by a human or not? Plenty of humans are shit writers who believe illogical or clearly incorrect things. The idea that human origin text is superior is a fantasy. chatGPT is a better writer than 80% of humans todat. In 10 years LLMs will be better than 99.9% of humans. There is no poison to be avoided.

chatGPT has an apparent style when used in the default mode, but you can already get away from that with simple prompt tweaks. This whole thing is a non-issue.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (2 children)

LLM generated text can also be easily detected provided you can figure out which model it came from and the weights within it. For people training models, this won't be hard to do.

I agree with the take that getting better and better datasets for training is going to get easier over time, rather than harder. The story of AlphaZero is a good example of this too - the best chess AI quickly trounced any AI trained on human games simply by playing against itself. To me, that suggests that training on LLM output will lead to even better results, since you can generate so much more of it.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I think OpenAI's own chatGPT detector had double digit false negative and positive rates. I expect as diversity of LLMs proliferates, it will become increasingly harder to detect.

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