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So how big is this thing at the border? (hexbear.net)
submitted 2 years ago by to c/chapotraphouse@hexbear.net
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6 states siding against a supreme court decision to deny access to federal authorities seems big, if thats happened in my lifetime I've not heard of it before

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[–] 49 points 2 years ago (31 children)

My money is on this being the thing that directly causes the US to balkanize, and only because it seems to be against the hexbear main consensus. This site was wrong about the invasion of Ukraine, I think this is going to be Hexbear tradition.

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  • [–] 37 points 2 years ago (3 children)

    Wrong about the beginning of events, but correct about their trajectory once they have begun

    But often only because we go "No, that won't happen, that would be stupid and counterproductive for the West" but then they just do the thing anyway and so we just go "...okay, well, they're gonna lose then"

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  • [–] 26 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    I think the skepticism toward the invasion of Ukraine was completely correct and valid, we just forgot we live in hell world.

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  • [–] 12 points 2 years ago

    It was a Thatcher bombing situation. The libs crying wolf about Russia only have to get lucky once, we have to get lucky every single time. They like to forget that they were howling about an imminent Russian invasion for months and even US analysts no longer considered it plausible. And then it happened.

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  • [–] 37 points 2 years ago (14 children)

    Ever since Ukraine, my partner scoffs whenever I say “nothing major is going to happen.” I can’t say they’re wrong

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  • [–] 33 points 2 years ago (5 children)

    I had a large discussion with some colleagues about there not "being anything going on in Ukraine" because they had finally, after weeks/months of scaremongering, picked up on the news that "something was going to happen in Ukraine".
    This argument took place on february the 24th. I had not heard the news because I had finally tuned out, because nothing was going to happen lol. I literally said "I'll call it a war when there's tanks rolling into Ukraine!" Not knowing that at that moment, tanks were rolling into Ukraine.

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  • [–] 8 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    I don't blame you. That was a lot of us. US dem-party-leaning media screeched about Russiagate for 6 years, wearing everyone's patience thin on anti-Russian scaremongering and creating a "boy who cried wolf" effect. All the libs I know were very smug that day.

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  • [–] 15 points 2 years ago (7 children)

    Happens to the best of us, literally. Lenin said revolution wasn't going to happen in his lifetime.

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  • [+] 20 points 2 years ago* (5 children)
    [deleted]
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  • [–] 20 points 2 years ago (4 children)

    lmao Lenin as a nothing-ever-happens guy is really funny to me

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  • [–] 29 points 2 years ago (6 children)

    Ukraine is like the only thing this site has been wrong about, and that's only because we forgot the number one rule -- the stupidest thing that can happen is the one most likely to happen

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  • [–] 14 points 2 years ago (4 children)

    oh yeah?

    flattened-bernie

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  • [–] 9 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    We always knew he was a succdem and was very likely to get crushed by the machine. There was a small window where we were beating the odds and felt like our original, correct take was too pessimistic. God that was a good couple of weeks

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  • [–] 12 points 2 years ago

    I actually anticipated a war in Ukraine (because I had been listening to Alex Mercouris and for months throughout 2021 he was very pessimistic about the various diplomatic negotiations leading up to February 2022), I simply did not expect it to happen this soon. I thought it would be another year or so, but those who had been following closely the US-Russia summit in 2021 knew that the US was dead set on provoking a war in Ukraine.

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