this post was submitted on 23 Nov 2023
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I am also trending toward this thesis, although I wouldn't underestimate the chauvinism of the Germans and French either and I suspect Italy to some extent also, but I'm less informed on the situation there.
Yes but it manifests differently in the bigger EU countries you mentioned due to the fact that they are more advanced along the path of neoliberalism and thus their populations have less privileges to lose. They have also more diverse populations than the Nordics which helps to create a somewhat more cosmopolitan attitude as opposed to the petty parochialism and obsession with cultural and racial purity you see in more ethnically and culturally homogenous countries.
In the bigger European countries the problem comes more from their institutions and political elites complete capture by the Atlanticists and the EU bureaucracy which serve as a tool for Washington to exercise control over Europe. Which is why i don't expect similar results in the next elections in Germany or France, not yet at least. It would be unwise to break the liberal facade and wake people up too much by allowing say an AfD like party or a LePen to take power.
These sorts of political forces are more useful as a permanent boogieman to keep the liberal voters in line, kind of like how the threat of another Trump like figure getting elected keeps Americans voting Democrat.
I can see that. I'm unsure where New Zealand and Australia fit within this continuum of Nordic <———> bigger European countries, but you've made me think—
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What about the US? I'm unsure where this fits as it already seems to be fascist, so… But at the same time, contradiction-wise:
This is all very loose so feel free to point out all the holes.
I think that is a more or less accurate summary. You've seized on one very important point which i would like to further emphasize, namely that it is easier in countries with a larger (non-European) immigrant population to build a working class bulwark against fascism and to radicalize workers toward realizing the necessity to overthrow capitalism altogether rather than just turn the dial back to more social democracy (which is not possible anyway due to the declining rates of profit, the contraction of empire, etc.). This is why fascists perceive immigrants, particularly those who do not "fit in" and will not or cannot be assimilated into the national identity and culture as especially threatening (as exemplified by even the most "liberal" Europeans' unhinged, borderline genocidal aversion to the Roma people).
In the case of the US there is a very interesting contradiction present because on the one hand it is the imperial capital and has settler colonial mentality deeply imprinted on its national identity, but at the same time there are possibly more groups that are rife for radicalization there than in any other part of the imperial core. From indigenous groups to the black and latin american minorities, the US is in the most real sense of the term a prisonhouse of nations. In addition to that the US has one of the least bribed and most exploited working classes compared to the rest of the imperial core. I see a lot of potential for building a revolutionary coalition. The two main obstacles to overcome are the pernicious liberal-individualist indoctrination and the settler national mythology, and these are both primarily ideological and not material factors.
New Zealand and Australia share some characteristics of the US as they are also settler colonies with all the internal contradictions that creates, but in other ways they are also very different and resemble more a country like France where there is an ongoing neoliberal slide but one that has not yet been fully completed.