this post was submitted on 20 Nov 2023
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[–] [email protected] 5 points 11 months ago (1 children)

You don’t understand first past the post voting.

No, you don't understand FPTP voting.

Obviously the two parties can change. But you are already in a situation where the system has collapsed into two stable parties.

So voting for a third party is going to guarantee a victory for the party you like least, because of the spoiler effect.

And with how incumbent both the Democrats and the Republicans are, and given how the Democrats actually do have a stable core voter-base who would not follow leftists over to a progressive party, you aren't actually going to dislodge the Democrats within a reasonable amount of time. You would be guaranteeing that the Republicans win the next 3-4 cycles at least, with zero contest. And those losses would lead to the progressive party losing votes back to the larger Democratic party, extending the difficult transition period.

That's why third parties are basically impossible. It requires an electorate to be willing to militantly vote to lose to the fascistic party for over a decade before there is even the possibility of replacing the incumbent neoliberal party.

Your only hope is forcing voting reform. Which... I mean good luck.