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Israel's reluctance to start the ground invasion is based on three realities (hexbear.net)

submitted 1 year ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]

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The IDF will be spread too thin to maintain the intensity of occupations in the West Bank and growing conflict along international borders
Their rapidly crumbling international support will take a massive hit from the brutality of such an assault and could prompt direct retaliation from Hezbollah
Many, many IDF soldiers will get fucking obliterated entering hyper dense urban combat against a million people with nothing left to lose

These three combine to create the likelihood that Israel would be utterly defeated in such an action. The IDF is a paper tiger when they aren't bombing an imprisoned civilian population.

Thoughts? Am I right or wrong with this take?

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[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

One more to add to the list: Israel is blaming the incursion and casualties on a failure of intelligence. If that is true (and I think it is) I would bet the high command has doubts about the rest of its intelligence moving forward.

EDIT: To strengthen your #2, White House: Israel's call to move Gaza civilians is "a tall order"