this post was submitted on 10 Oct 2023
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JERUSALEM, Oct 10 (Reuters) - Israeli troops fired artillery and mortar shells toward Syria on Tuesday after a number of shells launched from its northern neighbour landed in open areas on Israeli territory, Israel's military said.

A source in southern Syria said a Palestinian faction had fired three rockets toward Israel.

The development raises fears the violence could lead to a wider war, as Israel trades cross-border salvoes with Lebanon's Hezbollah and battles Hamas militants in Gaza.

The military said its soldiers had fired "toward the origin of the launching in Syria". It did not provide details.

There were no reports of damage or injuries.

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[–] [email protected] 27 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (6 children)

I'm no expert, but if the Arab countries team up against Israel, that will drag the US into it for sure. Likely Europe/UK as well.

Then only 2000km away, Russia and Ukraine are still at war.

I believe this would partially isolate Europe economically from the rest of the world (depending on what Turkiye decides to do) because trade routes would be blocked. This might cause China and India to get involved as well because their economies depend on trade and production.

Gas prices would obviously sky-rocket along with the prices of everything else.

Because of tensions between multiple countries, it's unlikely it would be Team A vs Team B. There would be at least 3 different ally groups all fighting each other.

I'm really extrapolating here, and this is just one worst case scenario out of millions.

[–] [email protected] 21 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (4 children)

Syria didn't attack Israel, a Palestinian-aligned Muslim extremist group did.

The reality is that none of these groups can begin to fight an actual war against anyone with US backing.

The carrier group currently moved near Israel will perform strategic strikes and dismantle any offensive any of these groups try, and that will be that.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 11 months ago* (last edited 11 months ago) (2 children)

Wait would the US actively participate in a war against Israel? I thought they only gave aid.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 11 months ago

The US is making sure this stays an internal affair for israel and the factions around it, without other state players intervening. A theoretical tank force rocking up from jordan would be blocked by the US. (I chose jordan randomly)

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