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[–] 5 points 1 day ago (1 child)

Really, the one who’d have the best shot at a high leadership position in the federal government is Ivanka.

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  • [–] 8 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    I don't think so at all. In fact - I think if Trump talked about her as a successor - the chuds would get mad because they want a man at the top.

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  • [–] 6 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    Ah, but see, I said “best shot at high leadership,” not Trump’s successor. I think her path would be a triangulation between the low-engagement MAGA who would just look at the last name and vote for her, appeals to the establishment conservatives as having been the “voice of reason” in the first Trump term, and reductive essentialist appeals to gender and generation.

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  • [–] 3 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    establishment conservatives

    I think their time is over. And she has name recognition but she has no juice with the base and crazy runs the GOP. But if Trump were to have a massive heart attack and die to tomorrow - it's certainly possible that the trad GOP could come roaring back to life when Vance is the president. Still - I think Vance is 100% unacceptable to the chuds. I think they'll turn on him plus they'll suddenly remember his wife is a POC, she's not even a Christian, and she's the sort of person they want deported.

    I think Vance gets forced out as a 2028 candidate because a bridge candidate is needed to appeal to the chuds and the trads. I still don't think Ivanka would be it but in this scenario anything is possible.

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  • [–] 3 points 1 day ago (1 child)

    Agreed that the establishment conservatives don’t run the show anymore. However, that doesn’t mean they’ve disappeared entirely (I don’t think Trump would’ve gotten into the Iran boondoggle if there weren’t some neocons whispering in his ear). And while MAGA is currently top dog, I think that coalition is held together by the cult of personality of Trump. Once he’s out of the picture, MAGA will splinter into a bunch of disparate groups. So there’s going to be an opportunity to stitch together a new coalition.

    Now, to be clear I’m not saying that Ivanka is likely to win, just that of all the Trump kids she’d have the best shot at it.

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