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[–] 112 points 2 months ago (19 children)

Actually this is massive, massive news. The republican primaries are already over in SC. Given his sudden death likely nobody was prepping a campaign (Graham was already running for re-election). They're gonna have to have a special primary in just a few weeks, and only a few months to build and win a campaign.

Huge huge opportunity for Dems.

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  • [–] 142 points 2 months ago (8 children)

    never underestimate the dems ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

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  • [–] 0 points 2 months ago (2 children)
  • [–] 24 points 2 months ago (7 children)
  • [–] 39 points 2 months ago (3 children)

    Lindsey Graham only got 54% last go... It's far from impossible.

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  • [–] 30 points 2 months ago (1 child)

    It's unlikely... But given the negativity across the board for Trump's shit this year resulting in massive shifts in previously pretty strong Trump districts, combined with a baseline of only 54%... It's not an impossibility at all.

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  • [–] 11 points 2 months ago

    The latest election in 2020 per your source was 54.44% for Graham and 44.17% for his opponent.

    That is not an impossible margin. The Republicans will not benefit from running an incumbent, and the Republican party has never been more unpopular. This is a very good chance.

    Just look at Georgia until Osoff and Warnock Georgia had been red for a very very long time. Just as long as South Carolina.

    Past elections don't predict future elections. They are certainly indicators, but there's way more to it.

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  • [–] 4 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 child)

    Fritz Hollings, a conservative Democrat (and therefore not far off from being a Republican), was a senator of South Carolina until 2005.

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  • [–] 2 points 2 months ago

    i mean back in the day (when i was young and naive. i swear things were really different then though!) conservatives from liberal states and liberals from conservative states had a lot in common. a hell of a lot more than they do now at least.

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