Hold on to your butts, comrades. We're about to get a preview of 2050. I just checked the live data, and the area off the coast of South America that is the index water for ENSO is 9° F above average in places. This is going to be a wild year.
Yeah, it's the wind currents, they tend to sheer off the tops of accumulating clouds and take a lot of power out of the storms.