I mean the fact that they started cooking numbers under Biden clearly indicates that there have been deep problems brewing in the economy for a while now. Every single indicator outside the tech sector is that the economy is shrinking. Companies aren't hiring, industrial growth is slowing down, and now there's going to be a huge shock from gas prices going through the roof. Even the whole AI economy is gonna suffer cause data centers take energy to run, and energy prices are going to the moon. The war being the catalyst for the crash is a very likely scenario in my opinion.