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Large Language Model Performance Doubles Every 7 Months
(spectrum.ieee.org)
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this post was submitted on 04 Jul 2025
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That graph is hilarious. Enormous error bars, totally arbitrary quantization of complexity, and it's title? "Task time for a human that an AI model completes with a 50 percent success rate". 50 percent success is useless, lmao.
On a more sober note, I'm very disappointed that IEEE is publishing this kind of trash.
in yes/no type questions, 50% success rate is the absolute worst one can do. Any worse and you're just giving an inverted correct answer more than half the time