59
submitted 2 weeks ago by [email protected] to c/[email protected]
you are viewing a single comment's thread
view the rest of the comments
[-] [email protected] 2 points 2 weeks ago

That's fair, I was talking specifically about Melbourne. However, the redistribution doesn't account for the swing against Bandt. The ABC's analysis put his first preference vote nominally on ~45% after redistribution, but he only got 39.5% (and I believe their swing figures are adjusted for redistributions, which is why they show Bennelong as a Labor gain from the Liberals even though Labor previously held the seat).

You're completely right about Brisbane though (and the same thing nearly happened in Ryan). The swing against the Greens alone wouldn't have dropped them out of the 2CP, the massive surge for Labor at the expense of the LNP was what did it.

this post was submitted on 17 May 2025
59 points (100.0% liked)

Australian Politics

1537 readers
9 users here now

A place to discuss Australia Politics.

Rules

This community is run under the rules of aussie.zone.

Recommended and Related Communities

Be sure to check out and subscribe to our related communities on aussie.zone:

Plus other communities for sport and major cities.

https://aussie.zone/communities

founded 2 years ago
MODERATORS