Its hard to say, typically takes a wee while for Kiwis to admit the mistake, or experience the buyers remorse of a National government. Plus with the trend amongst western liberal democracy towards authoritarianism, the massive funding gap between the two major parties and the inevitable disinformation shitstorm ramping up even more around election time on Facebook where seemingly so many morons learn about the world its very much a 50/50 even if this lot get even more unpopular.