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this post was submitted on 21 Apr 2025
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GenZedong
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It's not that easy to just make a "second China". Because what made China China wasn't just cheap labor costs, it was the entire foundation built during the Mao era. Even India with its similarly large population size as the other comment here suggests can't just replace China overnight. If they could they would have done so already.
But India is pursuing a fundamentally different model of economic development and the US can't magically transform it with just their "carrot and stick method" that you mention. They would need not just to invest massively in a kind of Marshall plan style without immediate prospects for a return on that investment, which US capital is not going to be easily persuaded to do, but also change the entrenched oligarchic and political structures in India that stand in the way of China style industrial development.
And India is where the US's chances are highest. In South East Asia they stand even less of a chance, countries like Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, they are much more highly integrated into China's economic orbit. And yes, the Philippines is a US neocolony that can serve as a military launchpad, but they definitely can't economically replace China. I think if the US imperialists really are thinking along the lines you laid out they are severely deluding themselves.