this post was submitted on 03 Nov 2024
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electoralism
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538-type redditors gooning over this Ann Selzer poll showing Harris at +4 in Iowa because her predictions have been within like 1 points of the actual result for the past few cycles.
Obviously that kind of performance would be insane so I don't see it happening. But I wonder if it's a sign that her odds are better than those currently represented in the polls and prediction models
what happened to not trusting the polls? Could have sworn that’s what they said as a
mechanism
I was told that polls don't work