this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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USpolitics

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[โ€“] [email protected] 6 points 1 day ago (1 children)

I wonder how much independence Russia has now. I doubt they'd march into another country by their own will right after Ukraine, they usually take some time to sit out the situation and replenish resources (2nd Chechen - Georgia - Ukraine 2014 - Ukraine 2022), but what if they'd be pushed by China or whoever to continue being a destabilizing chaos actor? Like with Transistria in Moldova, they also has tabs in Georgia-Armenian conflict and northern regions of Kazakhstan has the same vatnik sympathy problem as Donbass pre-2014 as I've heard.

[โ€“] [email protected] 6 points 1 day ago

Unlike those previous conflicts, Russia has deployed pretty much their entire military equipment reserves. With how much of a brain drain they had, it will take them a long time to re equip for another war.