The Dredge Tank. For posting all the low tier reactionary bullshit that you can't post anywhere else. Got some bullshit from Reddit with 2 upvotes and want to share, post it here.
This community was created with the purpose that Rule 8 fans will just block it.
The rules are literally The Dunk Tank's rules, just without rule 8.
Rule 1: All posts must include links to the subject matter, and no identifying information should be redacted.
Rule 2: If your source is a reactionary website, please use archive.is instead of linking directly.
Rule 3: No sectarianism.
Rule 4: TERF/SWERFs Not Welcome
Rule 5: No ableism of any kind (that includes stuff like libt*rd)
Rule 6: Do not post fellow hexbears.
Rule 7: Do not individually target other instances' admins or moderators.
Sometimes I miss the 2016 version of myself, where I would get a mild dopamine boost about funny jokes about the orange man, or seeing a celebrity endorse my favorite DNC war criminal - blissfully unaware of global politics, war, and genocide.
I used to be like this in 2016 too. I listened obsessively to the 538 podcast and read everything on their website. Then, on election day, Trump won the electoral college while Hillary won the popular vote. 538 had never covered this possibility. I know because I really did follow them obsessively for months. This world of r/politics headlines has only the most tenuous connection to the actual material world. If you follow liberalism closely, sooner or later it leads you over a cliff.
538 had a 30% chance of Trump winning. Here's the last analysis prior to the election. Of my friends following politics at the time, I was the only one who thought Trump had a chance and was slightly worried explicitly because I was following 538.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton
Edit: I reread your comment and realized you meant specifically the scenario where Clinton won the popular vote but lost the electoral college, but Mr bronze's model gave that scenario a 10.5% chance if you look at the bottom of the final 2016 forecast, and it's also mentioned briefly in the analysis I posted above