this post was submitted on 31 Jul 2023
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Discussion of climate, how it is changing, activism around that, the politics, and the energy systems change we need in order to stabilize things.

As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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I'll note that this post is paywalled, but the key facts are outside the paywall.

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[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

Did you... did you just claim over 100% efficiency? Physics has an issue with this. Also, I have something to tell you, a heat pump is just a reversible Air Conditioner.

Definitely better than a electric heater or a gas furnace, not some sort of miracle product.

[–] [email protected] 10 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

Yes, they are typically calculated as having above 100% efficiency as they use the energy to move and concentrate heat instead of producing it like other heating systems. I agree that this is technically wrong, but it does make sense when looking at it in the above context of heating systems.

[–] [email protected] 5 points 1 year ago

Yes, over 100% efficiency is exactly what I claimed. In winter, you'll get more BTUs of heat output from a heat pump than you had put in as BTUs of electricity input -- because instead of converting the electricity to heat, it's using the electricity to pull heat from the outside and put it in your house. Hence, it's a more energy-efficient way to do things than the laws of physics would allow for a device that directly converted electricity to heat. That's what it means to be a reversible air conditioner, yes.

IDK why me saying that is some kind of controversial statement -- it's simply a factual description of the product. There are scenarios and real-world constraints which may mean it's more or less sensible to install one, but over 100% efficiency is, exactly, the selling point of a heat pump.

[–] [email protected] 4 points 1 year ago

Yes, he pumps do move more heat than the electricity that they consume. That's because they are a heat pump, not an energy conversion system like a motor.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago

No it doesn't - you're not creating heat, you're moving it. You can move more heat than the amount of energy you expend moving it. Hence the efficiency above 100%

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's a really bad piece of jargon, but is an internally consistent definition. They mean (heat entering building)/(work consumed) > 1

Which is a way if defining efficiency (energy out / energy in), just a really awful and misleading one.

In terms of % of carnot efficiency, the best heat pumps are about where stationary heat engines generally are, 40% or so.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago

Thank you! It seems to me to be like saying "LEDs are more than 100% efficient because we're applying the same metric of efficiency that we would for incandescent bulbs". They're two different methods of generating heat, why would you use the efficiency rule from one to judge the other?