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[–] 1 point 2 years ago* (5 children)

There's more to it as well, such as:

  • investors coming back from vacation and selling off losses and whatnot
  • investors expecting reduced spending between summer and holidays; we're past the "back to school" retail bump and into a slower retail economy
  • upcoming election, with polls shifting between Trump and Harris

September is pretty consistently more volatile than other months, and has net negative returns long-term. So it's not just the Fed discussing rate cuts (that news was reported over the last couple months, so it should be factored in), but just normal sideways trading in September.

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  • [–] 1 point 2 years ago (4 children)

    We already knew about back to school sales, they happen every year and they are priced in. If there was a real stock market dump every year in September, everyone would short September, making a drop in August and covering in September, making September a positive month again

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  • [–] 2 points 2 years ago (3 children)

    It's not every year, but it is more than half the time. Source:

    History suggests September is the worst month of the year in terms of stock-market performance. The S&P 500 SPX has generated an average monthly decline of 1.2% and finished higher only 44.3% of the time dating back to 1928, according to Dow Jones Market Data.

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