▲ 828 ▼ Gunshots reportedly fired at Donald Trump rally - as former president rushed off stage (news.sky.com) submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/news@lemmy.world 563 comments fedilink hide all child comments Video clip: https://x.com/Acyn/status/1812249329203286464
[–] Wxnzxn@lemmy.ml 258 points 2 years ago (2 children) Could history please have the decency not to re-enact how Hitler survived dozens of assassination attempts? permalink fedilink source hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] loaf@sh.itjust.works 109 points 2 years ago (1 child) This is exactly what I’m afraid of. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Bluefalcon@discuss.tchncs.de 69 points 2 years ago* (2 children) I'm afraid he is going to ride this into the White House or it ignites open political shootings. Not a good time. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [+] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 years ago (1 child) [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -20 points 2 years ago (2 children) Oh, he is definitely getting reelected. That is an absolute certainty at this point. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 22 points 2 years ago (1 child) It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent [–] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago there's still time to stop this. hoping for a hero. permalink fedilink source parent [–] pumpkinseedoil@sh.itjust.works 5 points 2 years ago Haha that was my second thought (my first one was shock that something like that can happen - it means dangerous times are coming for democracy) permalink fedilink source parent
[–] loaf@sh.itjust.works 109 points 2 years ago (1 child) This is exactly what I’m afraid of. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Bluefalcon@discuss.tchncs.de 69 points 2 years ago* (2 children) I'm afraid he is going to ride this into the White House or it ignites open political shootings. Not a good time. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [+] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 years ago (1 child) [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -20 points 2 years ago (2 children) Oh, he is definitely getting reelected. That is an absolute certainty at this point. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 22 points 2 years ago (1 child) It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent [–] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago there's still time to stop this. hoping for a hero. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Bluefalcon@discuss.tchncs.de 69 points 2 years ago* (2 children) I'm afraid he is going to ride this into the White House or it ignites open political shootings. Not a good time. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [+] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 years ago (1 child) [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -20 points 2 years ago (2 children) Oh, he is definitely getting reelected. That is an absolute certainty at this point. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 22 points 2 years ago (1 child) It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent [–] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago there's still time to stop this. hoping for a hero. permalink fedilink source parent
[+] Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works 7 points 2 years ago (1 child) [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago [removed by mod] permalink fedilink source parent
[+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -20 points 2 years ago (2 children) Oh, he is definitely getting reelected. That is an absolute certainty at this point. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 22 points 2 years ago (1 child) It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent [–] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago there's still time to stop this. hoping for a hero. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 22 points 2 years ago (1 child) It will galvanize his base, who were already voting for him, to be sure. But I doubt this will swing many voters. Trump is still Trump, regardless of assassination attempt. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -6 points 2 years ago (3 children) But I doubt this will swing many voters. Then you are incredibly historically naive. He was already winning by every available metric. So, if nothing had changed at all there was already an extremely high likelihood of him being reelected. This only serves to further strengthen his chances. I don't think people really understand how stupid, brainwashed, and weak minded the average American truly is. There are plenty of people who will vote for him because surviving an assassination attempt makes him look strong. Count on it. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children) He was already winning by every available metric. I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points. I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent
[–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago* Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win. permalink fedilink source parent
[+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child) Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent
[–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You sure about that? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) You linked to the 2016 election. Here are the adjusted values for 2024. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent
[–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 3 points 2 years ago I did link 2016, showing that Clinton had a bigger lead than the rapist with 34 felonies has now. How'd that turn out again? permalink fedilink source parent
[–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 14 points 2 years ago* (2 children) You could make points without calling the other person naive. No need to make the internet a worse place. As far as "every available metric" goes, you're talking polls, and polls are garbage. Every poll had Clinton winning in late October 2016. And we're in an unprecedented portion of politics in American history, so bringing up historical measurements doesn't convince me like you think it would. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent [+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Eyeuhnluuung@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) No need to make the internet a worse place. More Reddit-y here by the day… permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today 2 points 2 years ago Looks a lot like the propaganda trolls got tired of arguing with each other and branched out here. permalink fedilink source parent
[+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -7 points 2 years ago* (2 children) We will see who did the proper analysis in 4 months time. I'm really hoping it won't be me. Unfortunately, I am also certain that I am correct. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] kn0wmad1c@programming.dev 8 points 2 years ago (1 child) I'm not certain at all, which scares me all the same. Tho the last ten years still hasn't beaten the hope out of me, so I've got that much going. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago* I don't want to kill your hope. I don't share it, but maybe you can muster enough for both of us. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 4 points 2 years ago (2 children) I am also certain that I am correct. A sure way to know an unreliable source permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] LustyArgonianMana@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago Lol exactly, no one knows the future. That's the problem with inductive reasoning and the philosophical idea of the absurd. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -2 points 2 years ago (1 child) We'll see won't we? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 1 point 2 years ago (1 child) Yes, I guess we will find out if you're the world's only legitimate soothsayer with an outcome you've predicted that has 50/50 odds of coming true. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) That's not how odds work. The fact there are only two outcomes does not mean the odds of each of those outcomes occurring is the same... permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] TrickDacy@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Yes, the braindead thing you're saying you can predict the future. As a remotely reasonable person, I dispute this laughable idea. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) You're confusing the average American with the republikkklown voters. That's not even close to average. The average voter knows he's a racist rapist with 34 felonies that caused a failed insurrection. They won't forget. They will vote and your wanna be dictator will do what he's best at... LOSING. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I know you want to stick me in that bubble to make yourself feel better. I hated Donald Trump long before 2016. I knew about his ties to Jeffrey Epstein before that name was even in the public lexicon. I've been following the downfall of the Amerikan Empire since as long as I have been politically aware. This is just the latest dominoe to fall. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] InternetUser2012@lemmy.today -1 points 2 years ago (1 child) I don't care who you say you hate, when you're spitting bullshit, it's still bullshit. I'm betting your ip address without a vpn would be very interesting, amirite? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] Riccosuave@lemmy.world 0 points 2 years ago Whatever you are implying you should just come out and say it. You think I'm a Russian troll? You think I'm astroturfing? Think whatever you want. I literally couldn't give a fuck less. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] fukurthumz420@lemmy.world 3 points 2 years ago there's still time to stop this. hoping for a hero. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] pumpkinseedoil@sh.itjust.works 5 points 2 years ago Haha that was my second thought (my first one was shock that something like that can happen - it means dangerous times are coming for democracy) permalink fedilink source parent