this post was submitted on 13 Jul 2024

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Gunshots reportedly fired at Donald Trump rally - as former president rushed off stage (news.sky.com)

submitted 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) by return2ozma@lemmy.world to c/news@lemmy.world

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Video clip: https://x.com/Acyn/status/1812249329203286464

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[–] TopRamenBinLaden@sh.itjust.works 19 points 2 years ago (2 children)

He was already winning by every available metric.

I just looked for myself, and NPR/PBS survey has Biden ahead. Many other polls have it basically tied. A few have Trump in the lead by 2-3 points.

I wouldn't personally call that winning by every available metric, although I would agree with you that it looks like Trump has a slight lead.

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[–] candybrie@lemmy.world -3 points 2 years ago*

Were those national popular vote polls? If so, you have to factor in the electoral advantage Republicans have. If the national popular vote is tied, Republicans will win.

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[+] Riccosuave@lemmy.world -11 points 2 years ago (1 child)

Individual polls are meaningless. I only care about the trends of the the aggregate polling. Five Thirty Eight has had Trump leading by an average of 2 points in aggregate polling basically from the beginning. There has never been a time where Biden was ahead during this election cycle. Therefore, using the available metrics it is clear that Donald Trump is on the path to returning to the White House.

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