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submitted 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) by BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net to c/askchapo@hexbear.net

The guys is ~~almost 80~~ 73, he's an old man.
He's been very successful in his tenure, carried out great anti-corruption campaigns, overseen a pivot to green energy, helmed China as it has retaken its place in the sun.
At the same time there's a lot of foreign policy stuff that leaves some wanting. There's still cliques of liberals (as far as I understand, which is very little, which is why I ask) that are working towards something very different (I hear Shanghai is really bad?) not to mention some impending economic doom, according to some China posters here.

Whatever the case is, Xi has been monumental and at the forefront of a great wave of change. One must Imagine he has planned for his retirement, moved things around to ensure some of His Guys are in good positions to take over.
Or maybe not?

So what happens when he goes away? Who is likely to take his spot? What will happen on the world stage?

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[-] Wertheimer@hexbear.net 65 points 2 months ago
[-] segfault11@hexbear.net 20 points 2 months ago

the follow up to XI is actually XIV

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago
[-] BaggedEarful@hexbear.net 17 points 2 months ago

I think it's a reference to the hit MMO Final Fantasy XIV being a sequel to Final Fantasy XI.

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[-] Wertheimer@hexbear.net 12 points 2 months ago

Saudis playing the really long game by starting LIV Golf

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[-] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 56 points 2 months ago

When he retires, the next general secretary will be elected during a plenary session of the Central Committee, as it always has under a socialist democratic system.

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 32 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Yes that part I get, but there must be some frontrunners people expect are likely to win, which is what I am curious about.
I figure there are also different camps within the party, and they are likely to make some political play or other. I am curious to hear what people know about the current political landscape of China and what they expect to be happen when Xi some day steps down - since he is so popular it is unlikely he would lose an election.

[-] Alaskaball@hexbear.net 18 points 2 months ago

Insofar as I am aware as an outsider looking in, factionalism has been curbed under Xi's term and the only "faction" that exists" is the standing committee,politburo, and central committee all in agreement with Xi's direction, called the "New Zhijiang Army", or just the "Xi faction"

[-] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 39 points 2 months ago
[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 20 points 2 months ago

Points for the extra iis in jinping

[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 39 points 2 months ago

The failure of the USA will put a limit on the power and appeal of the liberal factions.

People will push further for the socialism that helped them.

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago

I'm not so convinced. Liberalism is seductive like a religion. The truth doesn't matter to liberals nor the appeal of liberalism I think. It whispers in your ear begging you to dance. For some amount of people facts, logic, reasoning don't really matter, it's about emotions and the feel of a thing so these are vulnerable to emotional appeals and propaganda.

Many Chinese may also not see it as socialism that helped them but some special Chinese nationalism or believe their people are superior, that they accomplished it in-spite of socialism not because of it. Never under-estimate the human ability for self-deception.

Care should be taken. Given Xi was chosen in the first place there is good reason to be hopeful about the CPC's abilities but danger continues to lurk.

[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago

Have you seen Chinese people speak of racial exeptionalism?

Chinese media phrasing things in terms of "see how our system has made us so successful" and "this system is why we are doing so much better".

Not "We're better because we're Chinese".

Not to insult you, but not listening to "facts, logic, reasoning" seems to me to describe yourself. I say this because you are applying the world of politics you know and are familiar with - outside of it's context.

The world you know is one of racial supremacism, ethnonarcissism, idealism, lack of dialectical materialism.

Are we describing China? Is this how they teach people to think in China? If it is, then what is Chinese socialism?

Do you believe that China is a socialist country? Do you believe that China is a communist country?

[-] darkcalling@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago

Oh please.

There are people in China who are Chinese nationalists. Not necessarily along some sort of racialized supremacist lines as in the US but who are less communists and more nationalists and who in a hypothetical where a US blockade and missteps led to economic problems and suffering might easily turn on the party just as soon because the economic headwinds have changed and they no longer see the party as benefiting them. And there are a ton of fair weather communists who are so because it's the path of least resistance and because they were educated in such. Such people at times get into various levels of leadership and such people at times also take the path of least resistance in engaging in corruption and taking money as we have seen.

To assert Chinese people are somehow special and the 'white-brain-pan' is the only one that can possibly be vulnerable to the siren song of liberalism is itself a racially reductive and problematic take. There are traitors within China including within the CPC as there were within the USSR and the party there. China has taken steps with lessons learned from the fall of the USSR to attempt to address many of these problems and that is good but given the amount of corruption Xi had to root out, the existence of liberal cliques, etc there are inevitably as part of China's opening up necessary playing with fire economic liberalization and penetration by foreign capital (to secure that capital) those who feel a certain way and have not been necessarily purged but who fester, tolerated so as to not scare off foreign capital and economic partnership and only reigned in as Jack Ma was if they openly go too far against the party. This however says nothing to what some of these traitors may privately think but be smart enough not to give voice to at present. Rot starts small with little concessions. Kruschev did not set out to destroy communism or the USSR and there is more than one way to fell a tree.

What I am saying is it is the mandate of the party, the vanguard to maintain vigilance. To not grow slack, to not assume liberalism can be so easily extinguished as you do. It is a weed and it must be plucked and it must be understood it can sprout up time and again from apparently cleared soil and that the vigilance here will need to be a longer one.

Importantly the USA has not yet failed. It is the strongest empire in history with a lot of cultural hegemony still built in around the globe and seeped into a lot of thinking in ways people don't even realize. It will likely be decades before the danger lessens significantly as that is how long it will take assume the Iran war really does bring US power and image low (a Suez Crisis moment) for this all to really fully manifest in the illusion and its remnants falling away. In that time China will almost certainly transition to a new leader. Like an injured scorpion it isn't wise to count it out but be more cautious than ever in its death throes. Future generations next century may live free of this watchful vigilance if we are successful. But we owe it to all who have struggled not to presume too much too soon. Until the enemy is buried and long dead and discredited the risk remains and so must worry and watchfulness.

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[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago

Is that something that can be seen occurring at the moment in China?

[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 17 points 2 months ago

"At the moment" is a non-sequitur.

Xi Jinping isn't dead yet. He is 73.

Average life expectancy in China is 79 years. We should adjust this number, since he is not the average person. I would suggest +1 Standard Deviation (SD) - but I can't find that.

Absent of other information we are looking at.

  • 79 + SD - 73 = 6 + SD
  • Current year = 2026
  • 2026 + 6 + SD = 2032 + SD

At the rate things are going, where the world is looking to China rather than the US, where the world is turning away from the US, where we have a midterm election this year, where we have a full election 2 years from now, where Trump faces jail upon losing, where MAGA talks up a civil war, etc - do you think Chinese liberals are going to have an easy time promoting US-style politics?

Power faces many dynamics, and the global trend is away from liberalism.

[-] SexUnderSocialism@hexbear.net 27 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

You make some really good points, but I couldn't help but laugh at:

where Trump faces jail upon losing

michael-laugh That will never happen. Aside from the usual political theatrics between the two parties of capital, the ruling class is not going to set that precedent where one of their own will be tried and convicted.

[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago

The administration would still have that as a fear.

It's part of the reason why Joe Biden preemptively pardoned Hunter.

[-] TreadOnMe@hexbear.net 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

But no one would go after Joe Biden hinself. It is literally baked into executive privilege as defined by the Supreme Court.

You have to understand, we struggle to bring even basic law enforcement officers to justice here in the states, the executive branch is both de-jure and de-facto off-limits, especially once they are out of office. If Nixon, Obama or H.W. Bush (or hell basically any sitting president in the last 130 years) didn't serve a single day in jail, there is 0% chance that Donald Trump will. He is the Republican Party now and everyone knows it. To arrest him post-presidency is literally to incite civil war, and liberals are far too big on civility to invite that kind of strife.

Trump will issue blanket pardons to his family (well maybe not Eric or Don Jr.) and cronies, but he does not need to issue one for himself, because he is already covered.

As you speak to our ignorance of the Chinese system and ways of thinking, I implore you to understand your own ignorance in terms of how the American system operates, part of the reason it has stood for so long is because the elite political class are completely insulated from all consequences of their governance. They do not truely hold each other accountable, therefore there is no real elite infighting that causes the normal kind of cracks that could be exploited. They are ruthless and cynical, but only to those outside of their class, and in their class, only in so far as it is about internal jockeying for positions.

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[-] TreadOnMe@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

Mostly, it is clear that the full liberalized economic model (ala Japan, South Korea, and Singapore) that was the model that the IMF supposedly based their financial progress against, is clearly flawed (in that it doesn't take into account the sheer amount of free money that was pumped into those economies to get them started, and that they are clearly slowing down or at a stand-still while China is continuing to accelerate, in spite of similar population demographics).

The success of several different versions of Socialism with __ characteristics is extremely compelling.

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 5 points 2 months ago

To be fair, the economy of Japan slowed down in large part due to the Plaza Accords handicapping economic development

[-] Athena5898@hexbear.net 38 points 2 months ago

That guy is almost 80!?!? Jesus Christ, looking good dude. Also disproving that older people are naturally shit at politics. Amazing.

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 31 points 2 months ago

73, I thought he was 77 for some reason. Whoops.

[-] oliveoil@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago

Because 73 is too random of a number. 77 is still pretty random, but not as much.

37 would be very very random.

[-] Johnny_Arson@hexbear.net 19 points 2 months ago

Looks closer to 67 to me troll

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[-] Athena5898@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago
[-] miz@hexbear.net 36 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

~~Xii Jinping, obviously. don't you know your roman numerals?~~

god dammit you guys already made five versions of this joke

[-] KuroXppi@hexbear.net 27 points 2 months ago

god dammit you guys already made V versions of this joke

[-] GrouchyGrouse@hexbear.net 15 points 2 months ago

Boom gottem

[-] FnordPrefect@hexbear.net 34 points 2 months ago

Unfortunately, the successor will be an unbelievably unpopular Xi U...

But hoo boy! when the Xi-witch comes along party-sicko

[-] thelastaxolotl@hexbear.net 29 points 2 months ago

Then we get Xii, Xiii and Xiv Jinping i guess

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 27 points 2 months ago

Crosspost this to asklemmy if you want some liberals to dunk on I guess

[-] Maeve@kbin.earth 29 points 2 months ago

Maybe ask lemmygrad for a detailed analysis by those more informed on the Chinese electoral process, but I would imagine the CPC has potential nominees and the normal electoral process will occur.

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 19 points 2 months ago

I figure that as well, but even within an actual democracy like China a competent politician will have trustworthy successors lined up to ensure the continuation of their political ideals and projects.

[-] hotspur@hexbear.net 23 points 2 months ago

Him and Putin were allegedly talking about living forever via organ transplants (I think on a hot mic at the PRC military parade) so maybe we’ll never have to find out!

[-] BanMeFromPosting@hexbear.net 25 points 2 months ago

They just talked about organ transplants and advances within the field. Not anything specific to them or eternal life

[-] Majestic@lemmy.ml 23 points 2 months ago

That’s Putin’s obsession not Xi’s. As a liberal who largely lives for himself and likely believes in great man theory Putin is much more interested in this idea.

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[-] Le_Wokisme@hexbear.net 16 points 2 months ago

everyone saying xii jinping is wrong, it's actually a countdown to communism so it'll be x jinping then ix jinping and viii jinping until i jinping presses the communism button and the jinping withers away

[-] CliffordBigRedDog@hexbear.net 15 points 2 months ago

The Chinese system is very resilient, the entire central committee can disappear and the CPC would keep trucking along

[-] tactical_trans_karen@hexbear.net 15 points 2 months ago

China has been one of the most stable and long lived civilizations in all human history. Socialism grafted well onto their already collectivist oriented culture and is wildly improving the lives of its citizens, and the world is now looking back to them to lead. The government is highly educated in Marxism and it's producing nothing but peace and sustainable growth, and they've quietly plugged away at controlling the base of the world's economy. I have no concerns about what happens after Xi, it's going to be the Chinese millennium at this rate.

[-] LittleFellaNamedBoof@hexbear.net 11 points 2 months ago

The only reason I disagree with Chinese Millenium is that I think once the west collapses Africa will flourish. China will be fine and continue to do well, but give it 100-150 years and Africa, with its vast natural resources, growing population, and no longer being undermined by the west, will be eclipsing China imo. I expect the African Union will expand into more of an EU like thing at that point and it will be by far the largest economic bloc on the planet. It is quite literally the region with the largest untapped economic potential on the planet. If even a small portion of it were to ever embrace socialism and have a USSR or China style industrialization it would rapidly transform into a superpower.

[-] tactical_trans_karen@hexbear.net 9 points 2 months ago

And China has been intentionally helping African nations build incredible infrastructure to do just that.

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[-] LittleFellaNamedBoof@hexbear.net 14 points 2 months ago

So I will sort of engage with your question and sort of not. I have no idea who will run China after Xi Jinping. It will be some other Chinese comrade. Yet it does not really matter. China is not, as the west likes to portray it, some dictatorship. Where one man controls all. Xi is awesome and has done a lot of good work, but the country as a whole is progressing. He is just leading it. China's material conditions will continue to develop. Its productive forces will continue to mature. That is the way of things. Politically the Chinese system is quite stable. The vast maority of the people support the current direction and there are strong institutions in place to prevent counter revolution. Xi is not some magic man holding China to the path of socialism. They are following plans laid out during the day of Deng Xiaoping that are now coming to fruition.

So 'what will we see out of China in the next 30 years?' is the next question. A revolution in food production technologies. Thorium power taking over along with solar. Becoming an energy exporter in the form of cheap solar panels and Thorium SMRs. A new naval paradigm emerging (i wont go into too much detail but aircraft carriers are going the way of the battleship). etc.

For a more short term view they literally have 5 year plans you can go look at.

[-] SevenSkalls@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago

I wish I could believe everything will be alright, but it's hard to be optimistic after seeing revolutions back slide before. After all, the USSR wasn't some dictatorship either, and Stalin also did a lot of purging and rearranging too, and look at what ended up with that place.

[-] LittleFellaNamedBoof@hexbear.net 18 points 2 months ago

The USSR was a massive success story. I wish people wouldn't focus so much on its end. Nothing lasts forever and the USSR was the most important socialist project thus far in history. Look at the world today. Do you not see the shadow of the USSR? Had the USSR not been around the US would have reshaped the entire world. The regions where the USSR managed to keep it at bay are now the very regions the US's empire is beginning to fall apart. Yes, what happened in 1991 was a tragedy, but that does not take away what it did prior to that. In less than a century the USSR stopped Nazi Germany, put the first man in space, acted as counterbalance to prevent complete and total US hegemony over the world, sheltered multiple socialist projects in their infancy, and so much more. It burned bright and quickly but its effect on history will be felt until the very end of mankind.

Will China last 200 more years? 500? Who can say? But I can confidently say that its impact on history will survive.

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[-] Blakey@hexbear.net 7 points 2 months ago

i wont go into too much detail but aircraft carriers are going the way of the battleship

This will hopefully be a blow against American military dominance.

[-] LittleFellaNamedBoof@hexbear.net 7 points 2 months ago

it 100% will be. The US does not have the means to rebuild their fleet. They will be left in the past.

[-] WokePalpatine@hexbear.net 10 points 2 months ago
[-] WokePalpatine@hexbear.net 6 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

After the block jubilee I got mad at everyone except OP on the site and reblocked everyone so if this joke has been made 13 times already I wouldn't know.

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this post was submitted on 09 Jun 2026
62 points (98.4% liked)

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