this post was submitted on 18 Sep 2023
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Image is of President Hakainde Hichilema and President Xi Jinping on September 15th, from this article.


Zambia is a country of 20 million people, located in southern Africa. Breaking free from British rule in the 1960s, the new government was a one party state ruled by the socialist UNIP party with its leader Kenneth Kaunda, who was a strong supporter of the Non-Aligned Movement (and was its chairman from 1970-73). Its economy has been and remains characterised by copper exports - it is the second-largest copper exporter in Africa - and the economy deeply struggled in the 1970s due to the price of copper plunging. After the fall of the USSR, and due to violent protests, Kaunda stepped down and instituted a multiparty democracy, which has been maintained without (successful) coups to this day, though there are warnings by the leader that some are plotting a coup, given the trend right now.^AA^

Earlier this year, in June, Zambia struck a deal to restructure the $6.3 billion in debt that they are burdened with, of which China is the single largest creditor.^Reuters^ Though he has typically been more West-friendly, last week, President Hichilema traveled to China for two days, meeting with various companies, and Xi Jinping himself. They elevated their relationship to that of a comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership.^Xinhua^ He and Xi have agreed to the increased use of local currencies in trade.^BB^

Hichilema said Zambia thanks China for supporting the African Union's entry into the G20 and China's positive role in resolving the Zambian debt issue. The Zambian side abides by the one-China principle, highly appreciates the guiding philosophy and principles of Chinese modernization, and hopes to learn from China's development experience.

Hichilema has also said:^AN^

"We can do more, faster, because the needs are tremendous in Zambia. I heard some of the solutions are here. All we need to do is to combine the two together."


Check out @[email protected]'s discussion of The Wretched of the Earth!

The Country of the Week is Singapore! Feel free to chime in with books, essays, longform articles, even stories and anecdotes or rants. More detail here.


Here is the map of the Ukraine conflict, courtesy of Wikipedia.

The news summary for last week is here!

Links and Stuff


The bulletins site is down.

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists

Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Add to the above list if you can.


Resources For Understanding The War


Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.

Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.

Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.

Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.

On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.


Telegram Channels

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

Pro-Russian

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.

https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.

https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.

https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.

https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.

https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.

https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.

https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.

https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine

Almost every Western media outlet.

https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.

https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


Last week's discussion post.


top 50 comments
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[–] [email protected] 84 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Beneath all the shitposting and memes about the war, the most yea moment i've felt about this was when i was in Cuba earlier this year. I had a conversation with an older russian man, and he showed me pictures on his phone. Pictures of his youth, hanging out with friends, drinking, partying, etc. But, he also showed me pictures of his unit. A ragtag mix of russians and ukrainians. All under the red banner. He showed me a picture of him at a cafe with those same people many years later. 2021. He doesn't know if he'll ever see them again.

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[–] [email protected] 75 points 1 year ago (10 children)
[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 year ago (1 children)

It's just full of people whose entire personality is supporting Ukraine.

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[–] [email protected] 68 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (4 children)

[Poland/Ukraine]

Poland stopped sending weapons to Ukraine over the dispute over the Ukrainian state forcing the lifting of the agricultural import ban for Eastern European countries. Transit of goods will still be maintained, but the weapons are set to be used for domestic buildup purposes from now.

It's currently election season in Poland and Slovakia, and the local agrarian petty/bourgeois doesn't exactly want competition.

Is this the Ukrainian government's most foolish mistake since the start of the war? Pissing off their staunchest supporters?

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[–] [email protected] 66 points 1 year ago (10 children)

pentagon defense procurement paper from last year


conclusions:

  • no commercial application for missiles makes them unprofitable
  • china makes everything
  • nobody wants to invest in domestic manufacturing
  • nobody wants to work in manufacturing, much less for the DoD
[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 year ago (1 children)

no commercial application for missiles makes them unprofitable

tito-laugh

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[–] [email protected] 63 points 1 year ago (7 children)

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/us-military-unequipped-high-intensity-combat-206817 (archived, is anyone else having trouble with archive.is / archive.ph? they seem to just not load at all for me)

The U.S. Military is Unequipped for High-Intensity Combat

The U.S. military’s system was for uncontested logistics, with the ability to conduct depot-level maintenance after evacuating vehicles from the front lines and heavy reliance on a contractor workforce for highly technical repairs. It also relies upon air superiority on the battlefield, which is not a given in combat against a peer competitor.

Former Commandant Gen. David Berger stated that in a great power war in the Pacific, “It’s just fuel and bullets, that’s what I’m going to resupply. The rest you’re going to have to forage.” These logistical limitations will be acute when repairing damaged military equipment. Absent repairs, it may be impossible for Marines to get back into the fight.

Besides the astronomical costs of many of America’s boutique and exquisite systems, the trade-off between the price of these systems and the systems that can kill them is becoming unsustainable

U.S. adversaries will not allow it to build up the proverbial iron mountain of logistics, nor will it be easy to evacuate vehicles or bring forward parts via “just in time” (JIT) delivery by ship or aircraft.

One of the reasons that the Afghan air force collapsed was the withdrawal of U.S. contractors. With the air force collapsing, ground units also gave up as they were no longer assured of resupply, medevac, or close air support. The U.S. military made the situation worse by having the Afghans move away from Soviet-era helicopters such as the Mi-17 and transition to the more technical and maintenance-heavy U.S. airframes. The U.S. military may face its own issues in high-intensity conflict, as defense contractors have withheld the intellectual property behind some of the newest systems, such as the F-35, effectively turning them into black boxes that only the contractors themselves can fully understand. American farmers can tell horror stories of the problems encountered with high-tech tractors and their fights with manufacturers such as John Deere over the “right to repair.”

that bit about the Afghan Air Force was something I hadn't heard before, absolutely amazing tito-laugh imagine having all of your military equipment be dependent on maintenance by foreign private contractors

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[–] [email protected] 63 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

SMIC Well on Its Way to 5-nm Breakthrough, Observers Say

In summation:

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp. (SMIC) is likely to, in the next few years, again defy the U.S. government by manufacturing chips with feature sizes as small as 5 nm, industry insiders told EE Times.

The production of 7-nm silicon by China’s largest chipmaker just days ago has crossed a red line set by the U.S. government to keep its rival nation stalled at the 14-nm node. SMIC’s widely reported breakthrough erodes the U.S. strategy to use export controls and blacklists to halt China’s technological progress, according to Dick Thurston, former chief legal counsel for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC).

“I never had any doubt that they would be doing 7 [nm], and I still don’t have any doubt that they’ll do 5 nm without the EUV tools,” he told EE Times.

The number of new phones suggests the yield at SMIC for the new process node is much higher than the 10% that some have suggested, according to Paul Triolo, who advises tech clients at Albright Stonebridge Group.

“Industry sources within China suggest that the yield is in the 70% range and getting better, which is usually the case with these types of efforts to push existing equipment beyond what it was intended for,” he told EE Times.

There is a limited roadmap for SMIC/Huawei to reach advanced nodes beyond some layers at 5 nm, Triolo added.

Given that SMIC has figured out multi-patterning for 7 nm, they can likely figure it out for 5 nm, Semiconductor Advisers President Robert Maire said in a newsletter provided to EE Times.

“SMIC has clearly proven it can get around the EUV ban,” Maire told EE Times. “Applied Materials, Lam, KLA and others are still shipping tons of tools to China, which is their largest market by far and growing.”

The only source interviewed by EE Times last week who would hazard a guess about how soon SMIC might have a 5-nm chip was Maire.

Maire’s estimate? “Likely somewhere between one and three years,” he said. “If SMIC is keeping pace, probably about two years.”

The U.S. Department of Commerce (DoC) controls on SMIC have been ineffective, he added. “European, israel-cool, various companies are not 100% following what the U.S. has asked them to do.”

While it is likely that U.S. officials will consider some further measures against both SMIC and Huawei, both are already on the Entity List and subject to the FDPR provision, leaving the “nuclear option” of Treasury Department sanctions, Triolo said.

“Any move in this direction would have a major negative impact on U.S.-China relations, which have seen some minor improvement after four Cabinet-level visits of U.S. officials to Beijing,” he added.

Whether DoC restrictions can successfully inhibit China, “my answer is no,” Thurston said.

“We’ve let the cat out of the bag. We’ve opened up competition to countries that can access all these tools. All this can be replicated.”

China’s chipmaking capabilities are not well-understood in Washington, Thurston said. “How do you actually estimate China’s technological capability? We don’t really understand. U.S. companies have done a poor job. I’m sure TSMC understands much better than others.”

The “high walls, small yard” strategy of U.S. National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan to keep China behind the U.S. as many technology generations as possible faces a challenge.

“While U.S. officials have stressed that export controls are narrowly tailored to national security-related issues, no U.S. official has clearly explained how a consumer smartphone like the Mate 60 rises to the level of a national security concern,” Triolo said. “It remains unclear whether extraterritorial export controls like the FDPR, which would restrict one Chinese company from selling to another Chinese company, would stand up to serious scrutiny in terms of international law.”

amerikkka-clap some-controversy

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[–] [email protected] 63 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (14 children)

NYT: Evidence Suggests Ukrainian Missile Caused Market Tragedy

surprised-pika-messed-up

From their original article:

A Russian missile strike in Kostyantynivka that killed at least 17 and injured more than 30 others was one of the deadliest in months.

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[–] [email protected] 62 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

> I storm into the room, flinging the doors open

> "The Poles! They've stopped sending weapons to Ukraine because of their stupid little trade war over grain; the cracks are forming, the united coalition is splintering! How long can this last? Once the spigot dries up, how fast will Ukraine fold? What new horrors will be wrought in this new multipolar world?"

> my gf turns to me," what the fuck are you talking about, go make some tea"

> I go stare at a screen for eight hours pretending to care about "action items" as I mutter on about Lviv/Lwów

> Work Slack Channel: "Has anybody heard about this really old documentary called 'Tiger King'?"

Pondering the orb of global misery with y'all is fine but god damn do I sometimes feel insane.

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[–] [email protected] 62 points 1 year ago (4 children)

guys this is not funny anymore. Which one of you took my f-35?

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[–] [email protected] 61 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Communists and conservatives coincidentally not supporting Ukraine (nominally for the latter): proof that communism and fascism are the same

Liberals and conservatives systemically and deliberately supporting and funding every war, invasion, and occupation by domestic forces: mature, bipartisan, proof that democracy works

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[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Georgia’s security service accuses Ukrainian official of plotting coup

The deputy chief of Ukraine’s military counterintelligence is planning an overthrow of Georgia’s government, its security service says.

On Monday, the SSG said Giorgi Lortkipanidze, the deputy chief of Ukraine’s military counterintelligence who used to be Georgia’s deputy interior minister, was plotting “destabilisation aimed at a violent overthrow of the government”.

The SSG said antigovernment protests “are being planned for October and December, when the European Commission is set to publish its decision on Georgia’s EU membership application”. It said the plot “is being carried out with the coordination and funding from a foreign country”.

👀

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[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 year ago (2 children)

I’m from New York and I’ve just received a letter (draft) demanding me to fight for The Ukraine.

What the fuck is going on

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[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 year ago (1 children)

NATO pulling a color revolution in Armenia only to leave them to their fate to be invaded by another NATO vassal is just evil.

They would definitely have overlooked the Armenian genocide if Turkey was in NATO at the time.

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[–] [email protected] 59 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (22 children)

So it's confirmed that the "WW2 Ukrainian freedom fighter" that got a standing ovation in Canadian parlaiment yesterday was in fact part of the 14th Division of the Waffen-SS (aka 1st Galician Division). Who do I need to talk to to get the Canadian Polish and Jewish communities on the cuck rankings?

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[–] [email protected] 59 points 1 year ago (5 children)

Reddit is probably the worst place to see how a foreign population feels about particular geopolitical issues. I've visited some Central American subs and most of them are huge America worshippers who still talk about Ukraine and how they need to support it. They also endlessly find ways to blame or hate Russia while excusing everything wrong that the US does.

This is not reflective at all from what I've experienced since the war took off. Nobody's really talking about Ukraine and local elections are taking most of the attention. Opinions on Russia are generally pretty good, much better than China.

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)
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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago (12 children)

Joe Biden urges world leaders to stop Ukraine from being ‘carved up’

US president Joe Biden called on world leaders to oppose early peace talks that would lead to the break-up of Ukraine, arguing that standing firm against Russia’s goal of winning a big chunk of land would deter future invasions of independent nations. Biden made the appeal in his annual speech to the UN’s General Assembly in New York on Tuesday, with Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy in the audience.

Biden warned that Russia was betting the world was growing “weary” of the conflict and would let Moscow “brutalise Ukraine without consequence”. While the US supported a diplomatic resolution to the war, Russia’s “price for peace” was “Ukraine’s capitulation, Ukraine’s territory and Ukraine’s children”, Biden said.

Perhaps this could have been avoided if you went with Russia's terms in April 2022? Hell, if you tried to talk with them to avoid the conflict altogether?

“I ask you this: If we abandon the core principles of the UN Charter to appease an aggressor, can any member state feel confident that they are protected? If we allow Ukraine to be carved up, is the independence of any nation secure?” Biden asked. “The answer is no. We must stand up to this naked aggression today to deter other would-be aggressors tomorrow.”

The United States doesn't give the slightest fuck about the core principles of the UN Charter!

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[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago

During his speech at the United Nations General Assembly, Colombian President Gustavo Petro questioned the differential treatment that the international community gives to the wars in Ukraine and Palestine.

Gustavo Petro: "I propose to end the war to defend life from the climate crisis."

Only by ending the conflicts in Palestine and Ukraine simultaneously would "hypocrisy as a political practice end," Petro stressed.

During his speech at the United Nations General Assembly on Tuesday, Colombian President Gustavo Petro questioned the differential treatment that the international community gives to the wars in Ukraine and Palestine.

"I propose to end the war to have time to save us. As soon as possible, the United Nations should sponsor two peace conferences: one on Ukraine and the other on Palestine," he said.

Petro then pointed out that these peace conferences would teach the international community "to make peace in all regions of the planet" because only by ending the conflicts in Palestine and Ukraine simultaneously would "hypocrisy as a political practice end."

"They have called us to war. Latin America was asked to deliver war machines and men for the combat fields," the Colombian president said, alluding to U.S. requests for support to the Ukrainian side.

"They forgot that our countries were invaded several times by the same people who now talk about fighting invasions," he added.

"I propose to end the war so as to defend life from the mother of all crises: climate change," stressed Petro, who also denounced that the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) "will not be achieved" in 2030.

"Gentlemen, you sowed injustice. The worst of all is to condemn humanity to war. That is why the current balance of social justice in the world is so bad... I propose to make up for lost time by doing two simple things: ending war and reforming the international financial system," the Colombian president said."

[–] [email protected] 58 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago)

I hate reddit logo losers so much, there's huge ass thread on republicans holding up pentagon funding (why are they actually able to damage/slow down the US war machine more than the US left y'all this is so fucking embarrasing...) and the comments saying that's a good thing are downvoted to the bottom of the thread. Blue maga never changes I guess

[–] [email protected] 57 points 1 year ago (4 children)

Brazilian Pres. Lula, a former lathe operator, and former Volkswagen assembly line worker/Labor Minister Luiz Marinho met with UAW leaders in New York yesterday, with a delegation of Brazilian union leaders. There, they announced solidarity actions with striking US autoworkers.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 1 year ago (2 children)

https://ghostarchive.org/archive/mMjLr

Orthodox deacon captured by Ukrainian abwehr for assisting Ukrainian civilians escape from being apprehend by Zelenskyy regime thugs for forced conscription.

Ex-deacon accused of disguising men as missionaries to avoid conscription in Ukraine I,nvestigators say at least six individuals escaped to EU countries after deacon allegedly took bribes* by Lorenzo Tondo and Shaun Walker.

A former deacon in the Ukrainian port city of Odesa has been detained on allegations that he took bribes to help men evade conscription by disguising them as church missionaries so they could leave the country.

The Ukrainian Security Service (SBU) said last week that the former deacon belonged to the Ukrainian Orthodox church, one of two main branches of Orthodoxy in the country and until recently linked to the Moscow patriarchy. Investigators say the former deacon – who has not been named – successfully facilitated the escape of at least six individuals to several EU countries.

“The suspect had compiled lists of missionaries who were intended to travel abroad on behalf of the diocese’s leader and the religious community, with the aim of becoming priests,” the SBU said.

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

China’s healthcare tycoons lose US$17 billion as crackdown spreads

The combined fortune of the top 15 Chinese healthcare billionaires has fallen 17 per cent to US$84.1 billion from US$101.4 billion at the end of last year, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.

The drop comes as the country’s top regulators started a sweeping anti-corruption campaign across the nation’s healthcare sector about two months ago. It has resulted in hundreds of hospital chiefs and pharmaceutical executives being probed, sparking a sectorwide share slump as investors chose to sell instead of guessing which companies will be hit by the clampdown.

sicko-charging

$84 billion left to go

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[–] [email protected] 55 points 1 year ago

Good morning everyone from Beirut, Lebanon. I'm taking a car to Damascus today, straight to the land of the Lion. I was coincidentally in Burj Hammoud with my cousin last night, which is an Armenian neighbourhood in the eastern edge of Beirut. Tensions are very high for sure, two older Armenian dudes got into a fist fight in a street cafe while arguing about Pashinyan. Which reminds me, you're probably getting a cuck n chad ranking next Monday, with Pashinyan and the Armenian diaspora in America competing hard for the cuck spots.

On another note, this whole counter-offensive thing really sucked. Progress is so damn slow that I haven't even learned new names of random villages in Zaporozhye for weeks now. 100 days in and we're still talking about Kamianske, Robotyne and Verbove

[–] [email protected] 54 points 1 year ago

Oh look more news about post soviet countries murdering each other when they were once comrades in the most powerful country in the world

[–] [email protected] 54 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (6 children)

Mold, raw sewage, brown tap water found in US barracks

Government investigators found mold, gas leaks, brown tap water, and broken sewage pipes in U.S. military barracks despite record-high Pentagon spending, according to a major report released by the Government Accountability Office on Tuesday.

“We found that living conditions in some military barracks may pose potentially serious risks to the physical and mental health of service members, as well as their safety,” the GAO reported, noting that the conditions also impact troop readiness.

The independent investigation paints a shocking picture of the conditions at U.S. military barracks, which all enlisted service members must live in at the start of their military careers. As GAO notes, the problem is far from new. The watchdog issued several reports in the early 2000s that found widespread safety issues in barracks across the world, and conditions appear to have gotten worse in the intervening years.

The scathing report linked the poor conditions in barracks to the military’s ongoing issues with recruitment. “Thousands of service members come through this base for training every year and live in these barracks,” an anonymous enlisted officer told the GAO. “They go home and tell their friends and family not to join the military because of living conditions.”

GAO wrote that, as of last year, there was a $137 billion backlog of deferred maintenance costs for Pentagon facilities. Barracks and other “lower-priority facilities” are “chronically neglected and experience increased deterioration,” the report notes. The impressive sum represents a fraction of current military spending, which is set to reach $886 billion next year.

...

According to GAO, soldiers at several different barracks were held responsible for removing any hazardous materials from their rooms, including mold or sewage. One service member told investigators that he had developed chronic wheezing due to frequent exposure to harsh chemicals used to clean mold. “There is a leak and black mold in the shower and maintenance still won’t fix it, no matter how often it is reported,” an anonymous soldier told GAO.

...

Broken windows and “insufficient security” have helped create conditions for crime in the barracks as well. Investigators found one site in which an unknown person had started squatting in a vacant room after climbing through a broken window, and in another case a soldier’s ex-spouse broke in and assaulted the service member in their room.

sit-back-and-enjoy

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[–] [email protected] 54 points 1 year ago (11 children)

Haven't seen many people talking about the new Hersh article, he has some interesting claims:

Major portions of the Ukrainian army have stopped going on the offensive at all

The CIA is becoming very skeptical of the possibility of a Ukrainian victory, and a significant rift between intelligence agencies is forming

Quote from an intelligence official: “The war is over. Russia has won. There is no Ukrainian offensive anymore, but the White House and the American media have to keep the lie going. The truth is if the Ukrainian army is ordered to continue the offensive, the army would mutiny. The soldiers aren’t willing to die any more, but this doesn’t fit the B.S. that is being authored by the Biden White House.”

https://archive.is/2023.09.21-111210/https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/zelenskys-bad-moment

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (7 children)

Anyone have a link to the article a month ago when zelensky warned europe what would happen if they lose, basically that the neo nazis would be let loose on them?

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[–] [email protected] 53 points 1 year ago (6 children)

omg,.. this Poland ukraine Diva fight has extrem potential .. both nations have the same national victimhood psychosis and they are now locked into an escalation spiral their national psychosis prevents them from getting out from..

poland apperently will Deny all benefits to Ukraine refugees from 2024 onward..

literally the land next to you , at war , at full mobilization .. and you try to use those under your protection as a kollectiv Punshball because what ... Ukraine has sued you in a non functioning court.. ? ...

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (5 children)

No Maverick appeal: Air Force misses recruitment goal for first time since 1999

Despite hopes that movies like “Top Gun: Maverick” would recapture the imagination of youth and open their minds to the possibility of high-flying military service, the U.S. Air Force has missed its recruitment goals for the first time since 1999.

This is part of a service-wide trend (Army and Navy included) that has so far only spared the Marines, which at 33,000 has much lower target numbers than the Army, for example, which missed its goal of 65,000 new recruits in May. It was the second year in a row the Army fell short.

But the active duty Air Force's failure to meet its goals is the first time in nearly a quarter century, presaging hard times to come. According to this report the active duty component fell just shy (90 percent) of its 26,877 goal, while its reserve and Air Guard fared worse, with 30 percent shortfalls in each.

Unlike the pre-9/11 days in 1999, which, despite small overseas operations against lesser rivals like Saddam Hussein, was considered peace time, military officials are worried about what these shortfalls mean for their ability to meet the current twin security challenges consistently identified by official Washington: Russia and China.

“The geopolitical landscape was so much different” in 1999, Air Force Recruiting Service boss Brig. Gen. Christopher Amrhein told reporters Wednesday. “Missing this year is kind of at a critical point.”

Is there one reason for the slip in recruitment? The short answer is no. As we’ve said in these pages before, the theories are moving targets, sometimes partisan, and varied. Some observers point out that young people have more economic and educational opportunities today. Others have noted that the pool of eligible recruits is shrinking — young people are more obese, have been on therapeutic drugs (disqualifying), are in poor shape, and have histories of using recreational drugs/alcohol and bad behavior.

On the left, critics say the military continues to be racially biased and misogynistic (particularly at the leadership level; the percentage of women across the military has actually increased to over 17 percent, while the level of minorities is close to 40 percent of the total military population).

On the right, critics say the military has become too “woke,” overtaken by the civilian world’s culture and identity politics, and focused more on “diversity, equity, and inclusion” than preparing men and women for future wars.

But another theory transcends partisan politics. As the trust levels in government institutions (including the military) has eroded society-wide, so has the number of men and women willing to put their lives in the hands of Uncle Sam. After 20 years of failed war policies, a citizenry that feels lied to, swindled, and misled at every turn is less inclined to believe that their children won’t be used as toy soldiers in some future Washington political gambit overseas.

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 year ago (5 children)

I'm sure the West will be quick to denounce this brutal invasion and send weapons to Artsakh, right?

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[–] [email protected] 52 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (3 children)

What if a Chinese spy balloon hijacked the F35?

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 year ago (5 children)

Ukraine could have avoided conflict – Trump

The loss of Ukrainian territory to Russia is “something that could have been negotiated,” Trump told NBC host Kristen Welker, adding that “a lot of people expected” Kiev to abandon its claims to “Crimea and other parts of the country” in exchange for peace.

“So they could have made a deal where there’s less territory [lost] than Russia has already taken,” Trump continued. “They could have made a deal where nobody was killed…they would have had a Ukrainian country. Now nobody even knows if Ukraine is going to be totally taken over.”

[–] [email protected] 60 points 1 year ago (2 children)

One of the worst people you know who has said the most insane and unrealistic things has a more sound understanding of the Ukraine conflict than the entire western media and most governments.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Financial Times: Billions of dollars in western profits trapped in Russia

michael-laugh

Western companies that have continued to operate in Russia since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine have generated billions of dollars in profits, but the Kremlin has blocked them from accessing the cash in an effort to turn the screw on “unfriendly” nations.

Groups from such countries accounted for $18bn of the $20bn in Russian profits that overseas companies reported for 2022 alone, according to figures compiled by the Kyiv School of Economics, and $199bn of their $217bn in Russian gross revenue.

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Many foreign businesses have been trying to sell their Russian subsidiaries but any deal requires Moscow’s approval and is subject to steep price discounts. In recent days British American Tobacco and Swedish truckmaker Volvo have announced agreements to transfer their assets in the country to local owners.

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The inaccessible funds add to the costs international businesses face from the fallout of Russia’s assault on Ukraine. The Financial Times reported last month that European companies had reported writedowns and losses worth at least €100bn from their operations in Russia since last year’s full-scale invasion.

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The Russian ministry of finance last month eased the dividend rules but also formalised a framework of “good” and “naughty” companies, as the Kremlin calls those that want to part ways with the country. “Allowing dividends to be distributed has long become a kind of encouragement for ‘good behaviour’, which includes making it clear that you want to stay in Russia,” said a person involved in exit deals.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 year ago* (last edited 1 year ago) (1 children)

Ukraine’s worst enemies are those who demand Russia’s strategic defeat

The article covers the counteroffensive and why it failed, which we largely already know about. There's an interesting section on Ukrainian mobilization that I actually wasn't aware of, in the spoiler tags below.

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Six weeks after Ukraine launched its counteroffensive, Zelensky extended martial law and general mobilization for three months. Three weeks later, he dismissed all of Ukraine’s regional military commissars and announced that Ukrainian authorities had launched 112 criminal proceedings against 33 regional officials, alleging corruption in the process of military conscription.

Since the beginning of the invasion, Ukrainian authorities have apprehended approximately 20,000 military-aged men who sought to leave the country, either by avoiding border checkpoints or by attempting to pass through them with forged documents. Many other Ukrainian men succeeded in avoiding conscription, often by paying bribes.

Now, a representative of Zelensky’s Servant of the People party has declared that Ukraine expects all Western European countries that have accepted Ukrainian refugees to send men of military age back home so that they can be drafted into the army and sent to the front.

Several days ago, Ukrainian media reported that Poland might extradite Ukrainian ‘draft dodgers’ back to Ukraine, where they could be compelled to participate in near-suicidal assaults on heavily fortified Russian positions.

Austria’s government then rejected extradition, stating “That would be a massive encroachment on our statehood, we would never do that. That would be an attempted intervention in our asylum system and in our statehood, Austria could not entertain that.” Germany followed Austria’s lead, as did Hungary. Zelensky’s plan to reconstitute his army by means of extradition might now be in tatters.

To mitigate the effects of draft evasion, Ukraine’s government has also imposed harsh penalties on conscientious objectors. As the New York Times recently reported: “Conscientious objection to military service is an internationally recognized right, one enshrined in Ukraine’s Constitution. But when Russia invaded Ukraine, President Volodymyr Zelensky instituted martial law. With that, the right to alternative service related to conscientious objection effectively evaporated.”

Not only is conscientious objection a “human right,” said Eli S. McCarthy, a professor of justice and peace studies at Georgetown University, it is “critical to commitments that Ukraine has made” to international bodies and aspirations to join the European Union.

But the main point is here:

Ukraine’s situation has become so dire that former British Army Colonel Richard Kemp—previously one of Ukraine’s most vociferous boosters—recently authored an op-ed in The Telegraph in which he warned that the West “must prepare for humiliation.”

With all due respect to Mr. Kemp, this is not the time for Western leaders to worry about humiliation. Ukrainian solders are dying on an industrial scale. We must do all we can to stop the killing. Western leaders can massage their bruised egos later.

At this stage, the humane and rational thing to do is to oppose the escalation of this war, and to advocate for reasonable, mutual compromises to achieve a lasting peace. This is a war that Ukraine cannot win in any meaningful sense of the word. The best that Ukraine can hope for is a bloody, horrific stalemate that will gradually sap the state’s remaining lifeblood.

With each passing minute, more Ukrainians become permanently disabled. More become displaced. More Ukrainian children become fatherless. More Ukrainian infrastructure is destroyed. More landmines, other unexploded munitions and long-lasting contaminants proliferate among Ukraine’s rich agricultural lands, and more towns and cities become uninhabitable.

The hole out of which Ukraine must eventually dig itself is becoming only deeper. At some point, that hole will become so deep that Ukraine will never come out of it. We are rapidly approaching that point, if we have not passed it already.

By insisting upon Russia’s strategic defeat and excluding any possibility of meaningful compromise with Russia, we doom Ukraine to destruction. To save Ukraine, we must stop this war.

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[–] [email protected] 51 points 1 year ago (7 children)

F-35 fighter jets can only fly 55% of time, US watchdog says

The fleet’s mission-capable rate — or the percentage of time a plane can perform one of its assigned missions — was 55 per cent as of March 2023, far below the Pentagon’s goal of 85 per cent to 90 per cent, the Government Accountability Office said on Thursday.

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The F-35’s share of the US’s overall tactical aviation fleet is expected to keep growing, providing a boon to its manufacturer Lockheed Martin. Each of the fighter jets costs the government about $160mn.

There are 450 F-35s in the US military’s arsenal — variants are used by the air force, navy and Marine Corps — and the Pentagon plans to buy roughly 2,000 more by the mid-2040s, costing $1.7tn over the programme’s life cycle, including $1.3tn for maintaining the aircraft.

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The Pentagon is years behind in establishing enough maintenance depot capacity, resulting in repair delays and a 10 per cent reduction in the jet’s mission-capable rate. Part of the challenges stem from a heavy reliance on contractors for maintenance that limits the Pentagon’s ability to control depot maintenance decisions. Delays also arise from spare parts shortages, inadequate maintenance training, insufficient support equipment, and a lack of technical data needed to make repairs.

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[–] [email protected] 50 points 1 year ago (4 children)

the f-35 has been upgraded into the unmmaned drone division and you terminal leftists think thats a bad thing

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