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[+] 245 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (77 children)
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    [+] 109 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (29 children)
  • [–] 68 points 2 years ago (20 children)

    This war is a sample of what all major conflicts between industrialized nations are going to look like from now on. Even more utterly horrific for the average soldier. Death from above at any moment without warning, fuzzy front lines, the whole thing.

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  • [–] 50 points 2 years ago (14 children)

    Equipment, too. The US DoD was looking at a new tank, but axed it. They don't exactly give out their reasons why, but a good guess is they saw what drones were doing in Ukraine and decided the design would have been obsolete before the first one came off the assembly line.

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  • [–] 26 points 2 years ago (10 children)

    They are coffins on tracks now. The tank, the warship, the aircraft carrier. All exceptionally vulnerable to $10k drones and thus: all obsolete. Until some sort of anti-drone minigun on AI enters service, the tank sits, the warship barely floats, and the aircraft carrier is 500km away.

    But: attaching some sort of infrared and visible spectrum 360 camera to a processing unit isn't beyond the pale already. It won't be long until these units are all back in action. Stealth drones already? Hypersonic missiles? Good old fashioned AT launchers? Reactive armour? Spaced hulls? Laser interception? Gauss canons?

    We're in an accelerated arms race right now indeed

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    [–] 100 points 2 years ago (1 child)

    May they prevail. Slava Ukraini.

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    [–] 93 points 2 years ago (30 children)

    No exaggeration, Russia is issuing donkeys and mules (yes actual pack animals) to soldiers for transporting supplies because vehicles are in short supply.

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  • [–] 41 points 2 years ago (4 children)

    Well, mules don't require fuel, and they also work as field rations in a pinch.

    Otoh, they need a steady supply of mules. I don't think there are that many nowadays. Although who knows with Russia.

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    [–] 84 points 2 years ago (14 children)

    Step up, EU. It's on you now that the US are traitors.

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  • [–] 84 points 2 years ago (3 children)

    I believe it too. What a shit time for American materiel support to collapse

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  • [–] 60 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    That's probably exactly why Putin has put his croney President Krasnov to put US support for Ukraine in jeopardy.

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  • [–] 79 points 2 years ago (4 children)

    We Europeans should have never hesitated to supply Ukraine. Let's make up for the fuck-up and give them everything we have and the AmeriKan Nazis can piss and moan on the sidelines.

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  • [–] 26 points 2 years ago* (3 children)

    What if the US stepping back is exactly what Europe needs to become a true superpower?"

    It hit me recently that Europe has largely relied on the US to take the lead on global issues, often playing it safe and deferring to American influence. But what if the US pulling back its support is actually a blessing in disguise?

    Without the US as the default leader, NATO and the EU could finally step up, stand on their own, and evolve into a unified superpower. This shift could bring much-needed stability to the region—and potentially the world—especially as the US faces its own internal challenges.

    Sure, it’s not guaranteed to play out this way, but isn’t this a more appealing vision than the current status quo or the rise of authoritarian powers dominating the global stage?

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  • [–] 69 points 2 years ago* (5 children)

    I've found that Colonel Maruks Reisner provides some of the best information available on the war.

    https://youtu.be/IDRjughhXMg

    He doesn't update frequently but all his analysis are sober, detailed, and realistic. He states his pro-Western, pro-NATO, pro-Ukrainian bias clearly.

    If I could sum up the general trend of his presentation it's, "The status quo favors Russia. If we don't get our heads out of our asses and step up Russia will win."

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    [–] 62 points 2 years ago*

    No wonder Krasnov Trump and Nazi Elon Musk are panicking and begging for a deal.

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  • [–] 57 points 2 years ago (64 children)

    Russia is going to run out of troops.

    IDK when, but they're basically feeding their population into a meat grinder trying to take Ukraine.

    That's not too say the Ukraine isn't taking losses.... I've just, seen some numbers that indicate that Russia is going to run out of people to send to their deaths before Ukraine will.

    Putin needs to give this up before he doesn't have a military anymore.

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  • [–] 51 points 2 years ago (18 children)

    It's not that they will run out of people. They have people, but to keep recruitment levels so high and equipment manufacturing so high they are overcharging their economy. Right now in Russia there are three types of jobs if you want to make money afaik, work in the military complex (arms manufacturing), in the gas extraction industry or directly in the military.

    It's Dutch disease x100, if the state at some point stops being able to fund the war machine, their economy collapses.

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  • [–] 41 points 2 years ago (14 children)

    To add to this, Putin can recruit from the poorest regions for a while, but at some point he needs to get men from the larger cities. The last thing he wants is protests from Moskou etc. The average person from Moskou hadn't had that much negative effects from the war yet. But if you, your son or father is forced to the battlefield it's a different story.

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  • [–] 35 points 2 years ago (14 children)

    To be clear: The Russia's losses are increasing month after month, but their recruitment capacity is not. They are recruiting about 1000 soldiers every day, maybe a bit less. And the number seems to be going down, not growing. They are losing 1300 to 1800 each day now meaning a net loss of something like 400 to 900 soldiers per day!

    They won't run out of population anytime soon, but they will run out of soldiers.

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    [–] 51 points 2 years ago (2 children)

    I've heard this one before. As much as I'd like to believe it...

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  • [–] 44 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (23 children)

    Which is probably why they're trying to bid up Ukraine with the US using their own minerals.

    Edit: Although some are suggesting this article is just propaganda, Russia's main challenge is that their economy is on the brink of failing and domestic support becomes a question if that happens. From a skim that appears to be the main thrust of it.

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    [–] 39 points 2 years ago* (last edited 2 years ago) (17 children)

    I honestly don't know how to read the situation. Ukraine's fought terrifically, but their status seems far less sustainable even if you discount the Trump stuff. I don't put a lot of stock in these claims that Russia is on the verge of imploding due to the stress of the war, any day now. It is possible, but mostly seems like wishful thinking.

    External aid changes the situation a bit, but not ultimately that much because no Western power seems willing to directly intervene with troops. Barring that, the overall situation between the two countries feels a bit like what Shelby Foote said about the US Civil War: "the North fought that war with one hand behind its back... If there had been more Southern victories, and a lot more, the North simply would have brought that other hand out from behind its back."

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    [–] 29 points 2 years ago (19 children)

    And god I hope they keep going and keep winning.

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    [–] 25 points 2 years ago (1 child)
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    [–] 24 points 2 years ago

    I hope that Ukraine dismantles Russia's corpse for the best bits. Putin's personal wealth can be used for funding the rebuilding of Ukraine.

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