this post was submitted on 04 Feb 2024
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the_dunk_tank
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The glitch: Peaceful reunification, because even somehow winning a conflict against the world's largest economy, 100 miles off your coast, that has been preparing for this for half a century, is far, far worse than the alternative.
Then again, if Ukraine is anything to go by, we're gonna get some comprador gov't put a rifle in every man, woman, and child's hands, followed by the US bombing TSMC.
Nah there isnt a fervent anti-China nationalist mythology and hatred among the Taiwanese at nearly the degree that has been constructed in Ukraine for a century now. Much different cultural mindsets too. Taiwan would fold socialy in any attempt to have them fight any attritional, mass mobilization war against the Chinese. Ukraine had hundreds of thousands of fascists frothing in the mouth for Russian blood with penetration at every level of politics and civil society , let alone the army. And a russophobic population ready to jump into "this is an existential war that we must fight till the last man" narrative fed to them. There wont be any mass ability or willingness to die by the tens of thousands on a war against the mainland. Hell they would probably fold after 2 weeks of Naval blockade of Oil/Gas/coal if the US doesnt try to break it, let alone fight on trenches on the beaches
tl'dr; Taiwanese aren't mayos