this post was submitted on 26 Dec 2023
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[–] [email protected] 4 points 10 months ago (1 children)

Lol no. Xi has eliminated or purged every individual and has gutted every institution that could serve to oppose his reign that there is no one left who can make policy decisions on a national level.

Xi has also killed the messenger so many times that there is no one left who will bring him accurate information.

Bottom level bureaucrats are reduced to making decisions based on what they think Xi wants. The result has been a string of absolute failures wolf warrior diplomacy, the spy balloon, etc.

The CCP and China are what state failure looks like in its early stages.

[–] [email protected] -2 points 10 months ago

What evidence is there for this beyond mere speculation? Most articles on Xi from the western press read more like gossip magazines than investigative journalism. They’re full of things like “body language experts” and other fluff but not much else.

The same is true for the “spy balloon” or “wolf warrior diplomacy”. While we don’t know what the balloon’s purpose was, the US has basically admitted that it wasn’t collecting any data. As for “wolf warrior diplomacy” it amounts to minor Chinese state officials being sassy on twitter. There’s no evidence that such behavior was state policy.

Concluding that China is bound to collapse based on this kind of flimsy evidence is so silly.