Polling currently indicates many seats flipping to Dems. Assume for now that this happens and both houses of congress are majority Democrat.

What are the odds that Trump triggers some sequence of events that lead to large-scale domestic backlash? Some theoretical options

  • Refuse to accept results of election
  • Significantly escalate foreign wars
  • False-flag operation of some form. Bombing, orchestrated AI take over, infrastructure collapse
  • Orchestrate large scale rioting with agitators

What are the odds something like this occurs leading to a significant enough impact to negatively affect most people?

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[–] 3 points 9 hours ago
  1. He's already saying "if they're honest" meaning if he wins. 100%

  2. He's already said he's just been waiting for after midterms. 100%

  3. Way more likely they let something happen. If they try to plan it they'll fuck it up. ~50% chance they let it happen, 5% chance they pull off planning one.

  4. It's very likely he tries to send supporters to disrupt elections at the state level, but he doesn't have the numbers to do it effectively, even if he sends ICE. 10%, I think he'll be talked down by people planning long term and willing to punt Trump's remaining two years.

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