▲ 939 ▼ Mamdani favorability rating climbs to 69% (www.usatoday.com) submitted 4 days ago* by yonderbarn@lazysoci.al to c/politics@lemmy.world 191 comments fedilink hide all child comments In June, he was at 58%.
[–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 3 points 4 days ago* (3 children) Nate Silver is a known POS. I strongly suggest to avoid that. Here is one that lists them all: https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls ETA: https://www.salon.com/2024/09/06/nate-silver-faces-backlash-for-pro-model-skewing/ permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 6 child comments replies: [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago (1 child) Realclearpolitics is worse than Nate Silver. They’re openly conservative and manipulate their polling average by accepting only GOP internals not dem ones, which means their averages are super biased GOP. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago (1 child) Do you have sources on that? If so, who is a better option than both of them? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 2 points 1 day ago (2 children) I mean the wikipedia page shows it’s “conservative”. As for what sources to rely on instead. G Elliot Morris is the gold standard. But there are plenty of hobbyist websites that do just as well (if not better since include internals from both sides) as RCP. For example: https://plusminus4.substack.com/p/2026-senate-polling-averages There’s also the fivethirtyeight subreddit on reddit 🤢 which has all the polling nerds and that’s the best place to find resources and people who may know what they’re talking about. Unfortunately such a community hasn’t established itself on the thredi. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago FYI, I'm not trolling you. I believe you, I just really don't know what is fair in that department. I did a little digging and these came up. I'm going to start checking on them: https://www.270towin.com/ https://votehub.com/ permalink fedilink source parent [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago Ooops I see I forgot to link to G Elliott Morris’ website. Here ya go https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president permalink fedilink source parent [–] joostjakob@lemmy.world 2 points 3 days ago I vaguely remember something like that, thanks for the alternative. Direct link at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating permalink fedilink source parent [–] starik@lemmy.today 2 points 4 days ago* G. Elliott Morris used to build 538’s models, and now he does his own. There are Senate and House forecasts there too. permalink fedilink source parent
[–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago (1 child) Realclearpolitics is worse than Nate Silver. They’re openly conservative and manipulate their polling average by accepting only GOP internals not dem ones, which means their averages are super biased GOP. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago (1 child) Do you have sources on that? If so, who is a better option than both of them? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 2 points 1 day ago (2 children) I mean the wikipedia page shows it’s “conservative”. As for what sources to rely on instead. G Elliot Morris is the gold standard. But there are plenty of hobbyist websites that do just as well (if not better since include internals from both sides) as RCP. For example: https://plusminus4.substack.com/p/2026-senate-polling-averages There’s also the fivethirtyeight subreddit on reddit 🤢 which has all the polling nerds and that’s the best place to find resources and people who may know what they’re talking about. Unfortunately such a community hasn’t established itself on the thredi. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago FYI, I'm not trolling you. I believe you, I just really don't know what is fair in that department. I did a little digging and these came up. I'm going to start checking on them: https://www.270towin.com/ https://votehub.com/ permalink fedilink source parent [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago Ooops I see I forgot to link to G Elliott Morris’ website. Here ya go https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president permalink fedilink source parent
[–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago (1 child) Do you have sources on that? If so, who is a better option than both of them? permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 2 child comments replies: [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 2 points 1 day ago (2 children) I mean the wikipedia page shows it’s “conservative”. As for what sources to rely on instead. G Elliot Morris is the gold standard. But there are plenty of hobbyist websites that do just as well (if not better since include internals from both sides) as RCP. For example: https://plusminus4.substack.com/p/2026-senate-polling-averages There’s also the fivethirtyeight subreddit on reddit 🤢 which has all the polling nerds and that’s the best place to find resources and people who may know what they’re talking about. Unfortunately such a community hasn’t established itself on the thredi. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago FYI, I'm not trolling you. I believe you, I just really don't know what is fair in that department. I did a little digging and these came up. I'm going to start checking on them: https://www.270towin.com/ https://votehub.com/ permalink fedilink source parent [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago Ooops I see I forgot to link to G Elliott Morris’ website. Here ya go https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president permalink fedilink source parent
[–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 2 points 1 day ago (2 children) I mean the wikipedia page shows it’s “conservative”. As for what sources to rely on instead. G Elliot Morris is the gold standard. But there are plenty of hobbyist websites that do just as well (if not better since include internals from both sides) as RCP. For example: https://plusminus4.substack.com/p/2026-senate-polling-averages There’s also the fivethirtyeight subreddit on reddit 🤢 which has all the polling nerds and that’s the best place to find resources and people who may know what they’re talking about. Unfortunately such a community hasn’t established itself on the thredi. permalink fedilink source parent hideshow 4 child comments replies: [–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago FYI, I'm not trolling you. I believe you, I just really don't know what is fair in that department. I did a little digging and these came up. I'm going to start checking on them: https://www.270towin.com/ https://votehub.com/ permalink fedilink source parent [–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago Ooops I see I forgot to link to G Elliott Morris’ website. Here ya go https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president permalink fedilink source parent
[–] pelespirit@sh.itjust.works 1 point 1 day ago FYI, I'm not trolling you. I believe you, I just really don't know what is fair in that department. I did a little digging and these came up. I'm going to start checking on them: https://www.270towin.com/ https://votehub.com/ permalink fedilink source parent
[–] FundMECFS@piefed.zip 1 point 1 day ago Ooops I see I forgot to link to G Elliott Morris’ website. Here ya go https://fiftyplusone.news/polls/approval/president permalink fedilink source parent
[–] joostjakob@lemmy.world 2 points 3 days ago I vaguely remember something like that, thanks for the alternative. Direct link at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating permalink fedilink source parent
[–] starik@lemmy.today 2 points 4 days ago* G. Elliott Morris used to build 538’s models, and now he does his own. There are Senate and House forecasts there too. permalink fedilink source parent