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Mamdani favorability rating climbs to 69% (www.usatoday.com)
submitted 4 days ago* by to c/politics@lemmy.world
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In June, he was at 58%.

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[–] 8 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (1 child)

I used to follow the Gallup polls for this, because of the long time series and general reputability. But then it turned out they do not have a spine. Since then I always look at the aggregated results at https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin . Every poll has a significant margin of error (depending on sample size) and bias (depending on methodology), so aggregating them is generally a good idea.

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  • [–] 3 points 3 days ago* (3 children)

    Nate Silver is a known POS. I strongly suggest to avoid that. Here is one that lists them all: https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls

    ETA: https://www.salon.com/2024/09/06/nate-silver-faces-backlash-for-pro-model-skewing/

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  • [–] 1 point 21 hours ago (1 child)

    Realclearpolitics is worse than Nate Silver. They’re openly conservative and manipulate their polling average by accepting only GOP internals not dem ones, which means their averages are super biased GOP.

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  • [–] 1 point 21 hours ago (1 child)

    Do you have sources on that? If so, who is a better option than both of them?

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  • [–] 2 points 16 hours ago (2 children)

    I mean the wikipedia page shows it’s “conservative”.

    As for what sources to rely on instead. G Elliot Morris is the gold standard. But there are plenty of hobbyist websites that do just as well (if not better since include internals from both sides) as RCP.

    For example: https://plusminus4.substack.com/p/2026-senate-polling-averages

    There’s also the fivethirtyeight subreddit on reddit 🤢 which has all the polling nerds and that’s the best place to find resources and people who may know what they’re talking about. Unfortunately such a community hasn’t established itself on the thredi.

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