this post was submitted on 10 Sep 2023
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[–] [email protected] 17 points 1 year ago (2 children)

Declining downloads simply means a slowing of growth, whereas this is claiming a user decline. That only shows up in traffic logs, transit commits, or CDN account usage data.

[–] [email protected] 22 points 1 year ago (3 children)

Not necessarily.

Every time someone buys a new device they have to reinstall the app. So declining downloads could be indicitive of less users.

[–] [email protected] 6 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yeah and also, in capitalism, if a company ceases to grow, there's a good chance it will vaporize soon after. It's not a causation, but it's a notable correlation.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Yup! There are people out there with big pockets watching for stats much subtler than this. It doesn't always mean much taken on its own, but as a whole can paint an interesting picture.

[–] [email protected] 3 points 1 year ago (1 children)

whole can paint an interesting picture.

I know there’s meant to be a comma after ‘whole’. But I just pictured someone dumping a whole can of paint on a canvas and yelling “time!” Before walking over and slapping it on an easel at an auction and selling it for millions, while still dripping.

[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago

I almost want to add a hyphen now to make it official.

[–] [email protected] 2 points 1 year ago
[–] [email protected] 1 points 1 year ago (1 children)

Phone replacement is a high seasonality situation. CDN usage and access logs will absolutely show whether usage has declined or not. Release an iPhone and you see a major spike in new downloads, otherwise it's probably all pretty much background noise.

My guess is everything involving Twitter has been on a decline, and the things I did know I'm not able to share.