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I'm 90% certain that none of the resources being "bought" by AI actually have been sold, or created yet.
Either warehouses of GPUs and RAM are gonna go in a shredder in 12 months, or they're just decreasing supply and charging more, like the auto industry.
Speaking of the auto industry: Is AI a mirage, like the dreams of a working rotary engine? Many companies have tried, but it keeps killing companies and it still is an impossible goal. The technology projects a mirage for investors that it just can't reach.
AGI isn't coming out of LLMs and statistical weights.
Their model, which has scraped the internet and therefore by definition knows how to make a pipe bomb, cannot be proven that it wont tell the user how.
The guard rails are impossible to build because LLMs aren't deterministic.
Indeed. The prices skyrocketed because vendors realised they couldn't get replacement supply in the future. What existed today was all they were going to get.
I'm expecting a glut of supply once those contracts fall through.
It is, but I think it's a different type of mirage. The rotary engine does work, but it brings with it significant downsides. Getting the positives without the negatives is the mirage being chased.
AI appears to do one thing, but actually does another. People see it "creating" new things, but it's more like it shreds work up and then glues the pieces together making sure it looks consistent. Train it on one work and it can reproduce that work. Train it on two and it will mash the two. Train it on a billion and it will mash the billion. Nothing creative,. No extrapolation. Just interpolation.
People want the AI promise regardless of the downsides. It just doesn't exist.
The mirage is consciousness or AGI out of the plagarism machine.
Rotarys and 2-strokes are kneecapped by emissions standards/laws, not because they don't work.
Gyroscopic effect: "Am I just a joke to you?"
Rotary seals go brr.
If that's the case where are they? Other than being used in israeli suicide drones.
Motorsports. Altho emission/pollution regulations are pushing them out of that too.
Dozens of annual sales I'm sure.
You're mixing up "miracle tech that leads to nowhere" with "niche tech with little mass appeal". A rotary engine car has won Le Mans, The Mazda 787. I'm pretty sure one of the recent Mazda plug in Hybrids (I refuse to call those EV-s) has a rotary engine as a backup for the electric engine.
I'm truly sorry 2-smokers peed in your cereal.
But you're proving my point. They're a dead end and technologically LLM as a vector towards AGI is like thinking Rotaries are a vector for motoring.. They're not and they're not.
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