With the post election analysis going on right now, there seems to be a ton of weight being put behind exit polling (so and so got x% of women voters, etc) to the point where they just are presented as fact. As early voting and mail-in voting increases around the country, aren't those exit polls getting more and more unreliable? I don't see that discussion happening anywhere and perhaps I have a misunderstanding of what an exit poll even is. I've never been polled in any way after voting myself and as I understand it polling is already not as reliable as they're presented. So should we put as much trust into these exit polls?
Completely agree on people not understanding statistics. See: most of the polls showing a slight edge to Harris, but with a 3 to 4 point margin of error, being taken to mean that Harris had it in the bag.
SOMETHING HAPPENING 49 OUT OF 100 TIMES IS STILL VERY LIKELY!