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[–] 20 points 1 month ago
[–] 11 points 1 month ago

Well, they named in nimbus, of course it's going to be potent!

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  • [–] 9 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

    2025-2026 vaccine vs the new dominant variant, visualized:

    Screenshot of LP.8.1 vs NB.1.8.1

    The 2025-2026 vaccine was for LP.8.1, which is short for BA.2.86.1.1.11.1.1.1.3.8.1.

    But the new dominant variant, NB.1.8.1, is (((BA.2.75.3.1.1.1 + BA.2.10.1.1).1.9.1.13.4.1 + (BA.2.75.3.1.1.1 + BA.2.10.1.1).1.19.1.5.1.1) + BA.2.86.1.1).1.5.1.1.8.1

    NB.1.8.1 is short for XDV.1.5.1.1.8.1
    XDV is a recombinant variant of XDE and JN.1
        XDE is a recombinant variant of FL.13.4.1 and GW.5.1.1
            FL.13.4.1 is short for XBB.1.9.1.13.4.1
                XBB is a recombinant variant of BM.1.1.1 and BJ.1
                    BM.1.1.1 is short for BA.2.75.3.1.1.1
                    BJ.1 is short for BA.2.10.1.1
            GW.5.1.1 is short for XBB.1.19.1.5.1.1
                XBB is a recombinant variant of BM.1.1.1 and BJ.1
                    BM.1.1.1 is short for BA.2.75.3.1.1.1
                    BJ.1 is short for BA.2.10.1.1
    
        JN.1 is short for BA.2.86.1.1
    

    spoiler Abbreviated:

    NB.1.8.1
    XDV.1.5.1.1.8.1
    (XDE + JN.1).1.5.1.1.8.1
    ((FL.13.4.1 + GW.5.1.1) + BA.2.86.1.1).1.5.1.1.8.1
    ((XBB.1.9.1.13.4.1 + XBB.1.19.1.5.1.1) + BA.2.86.1.1).1.5.1.1.8.1
    (((BA.2.75.3.1.1.1 + BA.2.10.1.1).1.9.1.13.4.1 + (BA.2.75.3.1.1.1 + BA.2.10.1.1).1.19.1.5.1.1) + BA.2.86.1.1).1.5.1.1.8.1
    

    :::

    The 2026-2027 vaccine is planned to target XFG (LP.8.1.2 + LF.7, or BA.2.86.1.1.11.1.1.1.3.8.1.2 + BA.2.86.1.1.1.16.1.7). Here is XFG vs Nimbus and the 2025-2026 vaccine target (LP.8.1)

    2026-2027 vaccine vs Nimbus and the 2025-2026 vaccine

    Health authorities are monitoring whether an NB.1.8.1-specific update to the vaccine formulation will be needed for the fall 2026 vaccine cycle

    Is that even an option at this point? Prebooking the 2026-2027 vaccine is already open for clinics, and based on past years, it may be available about 5 weeks from now

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