Dude I’ve been getting those vibes since it became apparent Trump couldn’t be kept from becoming the GOP nominee

I'd say Biden is in an even worse position, his push to the far right on immigration, economics, genocide etc. because he thinks he has voters over a barrel has alienated and demoralized a lot of voters. He's quite literally to the right of Ronald Reagan at this point on so many issues, it's a tall order to ask non-conservatives to vote for him when he's literally just a Republican.

His inability to change course very well might cost him the election, and even if he does squeak out a win it guaruntees that the Democratic party will continue to see moving right and supporting genocide as the way to win elections.

US democracy is kind of a walking corpse at this point I think. People just don't want to acknowledge what the problems are and think kicking the can down the road some more will help.

538 has been unreliable for several election cycles, though..

We can thank the "trumpland" FBI for that swing. I know it's a fan-fave to blame Hillary for that swing, but it's not like she told the FBI to open an "investigation" into Buttery Males, and not mention that donnie was under investigation when making that big splashy announcement about Hillary...

True but what the poster said is important: polls do not work well in close races because they don't sample correctly. The average poll respondent is older, whiter, and more conservative than the average voter. So you end up with a skewed sample. Plus you sample so few of the other voters that you can't make a guess as to what they think.

No younger people answer the phone for pollsters, so this is hard to fix. They are probably going to have to start paying people to answer surveys. I know I won't answer them for 15 or 20 minutes for free.

That's a pretty funny idea for a political cartoon - swing states in a trench coat trying to get into the democracy theater.

To me these polls were NOT important because of the swing to Biden. They were important due to the swing in important issues. To 68% of those surveyed the most important issue was "the Preservation of Democracy". This tells me that people are taking the totally insane Trump ranting seriously and all Biden really has to do is let Trump be Trump. Trump can't win losing independents.

Polls don't predict the future. They are a photo of the time they were taken.