this post was submitted on 07 Dec 2023
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How many bubbles pop 3 three times and then proceed to blow up bigger than the last time? I know of exactly zero. Looks more like an adoption curve when expressed logarithmically
Adoption for what? There's no indication that it's becoming interconnected to the economy at large. Just the opposite, in fact. FTX, one of the biggest crypto banks, completely collapsed and the rest of the economy didn't care. If it was Goldman Sachs or BoA, everyone would be sounding alarm bells, because they are actually integrated into the rest of the economy. Crypto just isn't.
Adoption as a hedge against fiat debasement, primarily. FTX wasn't a bank BTW, it was a shady exchange that mostly laundered money and stole customers' funds. It was more analogous to a precious metal dealer like JM Bulion or similar, except run by criminals.
The purpose of crypto isn't to integrate with the existing system anyway. The purpose is to provide a parallel system that isn't subject to the kind of manipulation present in the legacy system. Unfortunately, crypto has become completely overrun with scammers and charlatans just looking to take advantage of rubes. The fundamental principals of Bitcoin are still intact in the code and network though, and IMO will win out simply because it is incorruptible and indestructible. The legacy system seems to have decided the same, and is currently adopting a 'if you can't beat em, join em' attitude by pushing for ETF products to offer bitcoin to their customers though more traditional means.
I don't expect my post to change anyone's mind, but I would encourage anyone reading to look into why bitcoin has crashed multiple times and come roaring back each time.