1)Read the indictment. There is a tape where he breaks the law and then acknowledges that’s it’s illegal and proceeds to break the law more. That single law has a sentencing guideline of 10 years.
https://d3i6fh83elv35t.cloudfront.net/static/2023/06/trump-indictment.pdf
2)special council is insulated from AG and WH
3)the judge is a trump appointee
4)It doesn’t set a precedent for shit. He broke the law. He will have his day in court.