That would be quite the slopbro’s take on probability. Time is continuous, and every fool knows the probability of a continuous variable being equal to something is zero. You can give a probability for it being less than some value, or greater, or within some other range… but none of the percentages relate to the dates in any consistent way. For example, it couldn’t be 30% before 2035 because then you couldn’t possibly have 50% before 2029. But if you just treat it as categorical, as probabilities for safety and risk… then it still doesn’t work, because the categories are all mutually exclusive.
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